Persistent marine layer and onshore flow kept San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms on August 17, with National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F at the downtown or airport station. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 67–70°F, and the cool Pacific breeze plus morning stratus limited daytime heating despite a weak upper ridge, aligning with model consensus and producing the market’s 100% implied probability on that narrow bracket. Historical records for the date rarely exceed 80°F, and no anomalous warming signals emerged in recent guidance. Only a verified station error or boundary dispute could alter resolution, though official data sources make such shifts improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 17?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$27,921 Обс.
$27,921 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$27,921 Обс.
$27,921 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
$1,364 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$775 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,054 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,215 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,774 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$6,249 Обс.
100%
72-73°F
$5,436 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,878 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,595 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,189 Обс.
<1%
80°F or higher
$1,392 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow kept San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms on August 17, with National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F at the downtown or airport station. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 67–70°F, and the cool Pacific breeze plus morning stratus limited daytime heating despite a weak upper ridge, aligning with model consensus and producing the market’s 100% implied probability on that narrow bracket. Historical records for the date rarely exceed 80°F, and no anomalous warming signals emerged in recent guidance. Only a verified station error or boundary dispute could alter resolution, though official data sources make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$27,921Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow kept San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms on August 17, with National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F at the downtown or airport station. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 67–70°F, and the cool Pacific breeze plus morning stratus limited daytime heating despite a weak upper ridge, aligning with model consensus and producing the market’s 100% implied probability on that narrow bracket. Historical records for the date rarely exceed 80°F, and no anomalous warming signals emerged in recent guidance. Only a verified station error or boundary dispute could alter resolution, though official data sources make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,921Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore flow kept San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms on August 17, with National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F at the downtown or airport station. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 67–70°F, and the cool Pacific breeze plus morning stratus limited daytime heating despite a weak upper ridge, aligning with model consensus and producing the market’s 100% implied probability on that narrow bracket. Historical records for the date rarely exceed 80°F, and no anomalous warming signals emerged in recent guidance. Only a verified station error or boundary dispute could alter resolution, though official data sources make such shifts improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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