**Trader sentiment centers on 19°C (72.5% implied probability) and 18°C (20.0%) because multiple forecast models and real-time observations point to a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 10, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed insolation have kept daytime readings well below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C. Latest guidance from sources such as GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS shows afternoon peaks of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy conditions, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting limited mixing. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in early September rarely exceed 19°C when cloud cover remains this extensive. With the day well advanced and no significant model runs expected to alter the thermal profile before sunset, the market-implied odds closely track the current observational consensus from stations including Munich Airport and Oberpfaffenhofen. Final DWD or official station readings will determine exact resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
19°C 73%
18°C 21%
20°C 7%
22°C <1%
$40,492 Обс.
$40,492 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
21%
19°C
73%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 73%
18°C 21%
20°C 7%
22°C <1%
$40,492 Обс.
$40,492 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$1,260 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,722 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$287 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$1,937 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$7,905 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$6,018 Обс.
21%
19°C
$9,642 Обс.
73%
20°C
$6,844 Обс.
7%
21°C
$3,709 Обс.
1%
22°C
$1,814 Обс.
1%
23°C or higher
$1,696 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 19°C (72.5% implied probability) and 18°C (20.0%) because multiple forecast models and real-time observations point to a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 10, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed insolation have kept daytime readings well below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C. Latest guidance from sources such as GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS shows afternoon peaks of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy conditions, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting limited mixing. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in early September rarely exceed 19°C when cloud cover remains this extensive. With the day well advanced and no significant model runs expected to alter the thermal profile before sunset, the market-implied odds closely track the current observational consensus from stations including Munich Airport and Oberpfaffenhofen. Final DWD or official station readings will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$40,492Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 19°C (72.5% implied probability) and 18°C (20.0%) because multiple forecast models and real-time observations point to a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 10, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed insolation have kept daytime readings well below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C. Latest guidance from sources such as GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS shows afternoon peaks of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy conditions, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting limited mixing. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in early September rarely exceed 19°C when cloud cover remains this extensive. With the day well advanced and no significant model runs expected to alter the thermal profile before sunset, the market-implied odds closely track the current observational consensus from stations including Munich Airport and Oberpfaffenhofen. Final DWD or official station readings will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$40,492Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on 19°C (72.5% implied probability) and 18°C (20.0%) because multiple forecast models and real-time observations point to a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 10, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed insolation have kept daytime readings well below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C. Latest guidance from sources such as GFS, ICON, and DWD-MOS shows afternoon peaks of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy conditions, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points in the mid-teens supporting limited mixing. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in early September rarely exceed 19°C when cloud cover remains this extensive. With the day well advanced and no significant model runs expected to alter the thermal profile before sunset, the market-implied odds closely track the current observational consensus from stations including Munich Airport and Oberpfaffenhofen. Final DWD or official station readings will determine exact resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання