Forecast models from sources including GFS and ICON consensus point to a high of 22–23 °C in Munich on September 12 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 23 °C as the leading market outcome at 47 % implied probability. This reflects above-average conditions for mid-September, when the 1991–2020 climatological high sits near 20 °C, driven by high-pressure dominance that favors daytime solar heating. Recent model runs show stable guidance with little spread, though small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban effects could nudge the exact maximum between 21–24 °C. Updated ECMWF and DWD ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 12?
23°C 52%
22°C 23%
24°C 17%
20°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
23%
23°C
52%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
22°C 23%
24°C 17%
20°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
20°C
$0 Обс.
9%
21°C
$0 Обс.
8%
22°C
$210 Обс.
23%
23°C
$75 Обс.
52%
24°C
$0 Обс.
17%
25°C
$11 Обс.
5%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ICON consensus point to a high of 22–23 °C in Munich on September 12 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 23 °C as the leading market outcome at 47 % implied probability. This reflects above-average conditions for mid-September, when the 1991–2020 climatological high sits near 20 °C, driven by high-pressure dominance that favors daytime solar heating. Recent model runs show stable guidance with little spread, though small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban effects could nudge the exact maximum between 21–24 °C. Updated ECMWF and DWD ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$346Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ICON consensus point to a high of 22–23 °C in Munich on September 12 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 23 °C as the leading market outcome at 47 % implied probability. This reflects above-average conditions for mid-September, when the 1991–2020 climatological high sits near 20 °C, driven by high-pressure dominance that favors daytime solar heating. Recent model runs show stable guidance with little spread, though small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban effects could nudge the exact maximum between 21–24 °C. Updated ECMWF and DWD ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$346Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ICON consensus point to a high of 22–23 °C in Munich on September 12 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 23 °C as the leading market outcome at 47 % implied probability. This reflects above-average conditions for mid-September, when the 1991–2020 climatological high sits near 20 °C, driven by high-pressure dominance that favors daytime solar heating. Recent model runs show stable guidance with little spread, though small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban effects could nudge the exact maximum between 21–24 °C. Updated ECMWF and DWD ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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