Current forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a daily minimum near 9°C in Munich on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure that favors modest overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C, as aggregated trader assessments reflect convergence across recent model runs and observational data showing temperatures tracking slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 10.8°C. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger winds or unexpected clearing that limits cooling, or a warmer-than-expected air mass, though such deviations appear unlikely given the short time remaining before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 10?
9°C 99.4%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,000 Обс.
$1,000 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
99%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 99.4%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,000 Обс.
$1,000 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
$115 Обс.
1%
7°C
$180 Обс.
1%
8°C
$107 Обс.
1%
9°C
$396 Обс.
99%
10°C
$97 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
16°C or higher
$45 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a daily minimum near 9°C in Munich on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure that favors modest overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C, as aggregated trader assessments reflect convergence across recent model runs and observational data showing temperatures tracking slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 10.8°C. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger winds or unexpected clearing that limits cooling, or a warmer-than-expected air mass, though such deviations appear unlikely given the short time remaining before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,000Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a daily minimum near 9°C in Munich on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure that favors modest overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C, as aggregated trader assessments reflect convergence across recent model runs and observational data showing temperatures tracking slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 10.8°C. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger winds or unexpected clearing that limits cooling, or a warmer-than-expected air mass, though such deviations appear unlikely given the short time remaining before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,000Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a daily minimum near 9°C in Munich on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure that favors modest overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C, as aggregated trader assessments reflect convergence across recent model runs and observational data showing temperatures tracking slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 10.8°C. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger winds or unexpected clearing that limits cooling, or a warmer-than-expected air mass, though such deviations appear unlikely given the short time remaining before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання