Marine layer strengthening and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping downtown Los Angeles highs near 78–79 °F on August 9, according to National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs. These conditions promote low stratus and fog that limit daytime heating, a common summer pattern reinforced by cooler sea-surface temperatures. Recent observations show highs of 84–88 °F earlier in the week before the marine push arrived, shifting trader consensus toward the lower end of the typical August range of 78–85 °F. Heat-advisory expiration on the 9th and ensemble guidance showing minimal warming further support the market-implied odds favoring 78–79 °F over higher bins. Updated NWS forecasts and morning soundings on the 9th will provide the final resolution inputs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 7%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 7%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer strengthening and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping downtown Los Angeles highs near 78–79 °F on August 9, according to National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs. These conditions promote low stratus and fog that limit daytime heating, a common summer pattern reinforced by cooler sea-surface temperatures. Recent observations show highs of 84–88 °F earlier in the week before the marine push arrived, shifting trader consensus toward the lower end of the typical August range of 78–85 °F. Heat-advisory expiration on the 9th and ensemble guidance showing minimal warming further support the market-implied odds favoring 78–79 °F over higher bins. Updated NWS forecasts and morning soundings on the 9th will provide the final resolution inputs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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