Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5 hovering near 34–35 °C because official forecasts and real-time observations from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and regional models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds and afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Recent “autumn tiger” warmth has kept daytime maxima elevated, with hourly readings already reaching 33 °C and limited cloud cover allowing further warming before sunset. The tight 51 %–46.5 % split between 35 °C and 34 °C reflects minor model disagreements on exact peak timing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day boundary-layer mixing that could shave or add a degree. Historical September baselines and current ENSO-neutral conditions support these values, while the low probabilities on 36 °C or higher underscore the narrow forecast envelope ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
34°C 60%
35°C 44%
36°C 3%
38°C or higher <1%
$27,972 Обс.
$27,972 Обс.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
52%
35°C
44%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 60%
35°C 44%
36°C 3%
38°C or higher <1%
$27,972 Обс.
$27,972 Обс.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
52%
35°C
44%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5 hovering near 34–35 °C because official forecasts and real-time observations from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and regional models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light winds and afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Recent “autumn tiger” warmth has kept daytime maxima elevated, with hourly readings already reaching 33 °C and limited cloud cover allowing further warming before sunset. The tight 51 %–46.5 % split between 35 °C and 34 °C reflects minor model disagreements on exact peak timing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day boundary-layer mixing that could shave or add a degree. Historical September baselines and current ENSO-neutral conditions support these values, while the low probabilities on 36 °C or higher underscore the narrow forecast envelope ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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