National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 17?
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$32,334 Обс.
$32,334 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$32,334 Обс.
$32,334 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
$191 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$443 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,430 Обс.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,889 Обс.
<1%
100-101°F
$11,753 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$5,886 Обс.
100%
104-105°F
$4,029 Обс.
<1%
106-107°F
$3,664 Обс.
<1%
108-109°F
$2,033 Обс.
<1%
110-111°F
$370 Обс.
<1%
112°F or higher
$646 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$32,334Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$32,334Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations and station data from Austin confirm a daily high of 102–103°F on August 17, 2026, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with model consensus and climatological norms for Central Texas, where August highs frequently reach the low 100s during ridge-dominated patterns. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects these verified measurements at official sites like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Minor deviations could arise only from post-hoc quality-control adjustments to raw data or station-specific reporting differences, though such revisions remain uncommon for peak temperature records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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