**Trader consensus has locked in at 100% on the 98-99°F bin because official National Weather Service observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) recorded a daily maximum of exactly 98°F at 4:17 PM on August 17, 2026—nine degrees above the 1991-2020 August normal of 89°F.** A strong subtropical ridge over the Southeast delivered clear skies, abundant solar insolation, and light winds that allowed surface temperatures to climb steadily through the afternoon without significant convective interference or cloud shading. Model guidance from NWS and AccuWeather had converged on a 97-99°F high in the days leading up to the event, and the observed value aligned precisely with the upper end of that range. The only realistic scenarios that could have shifted the outcome were an earlier or more widespread outbreak of thunderstorms capable of cutting insolation, or a last-minute shift in steering flow that introduced cooler marine air—neither materialized. With the official observation now in hand and resolution criteria tied directly to the KATL station reading, the market-implied probability reflects the definitive measured result rather than forecast uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 17?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 17?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$42,095 Обс.
$42,095 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$42,095 Обс.
$42,095 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
89°F or below
$152 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$352 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$3,079 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$3,290 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$5,798 Обс.
<1%
98-99°F
$16,022 Обс.
100%
100-101°F
$7,938 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$3,433 Обс.
<1%
104-105°F
$1,571 Обс.
<1%
106-107°F
$222 Обс.
<1%
108°F or higher
$238 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in at 100% on the 98-99°F bin because official National Weather Service observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) recorded a daily maximum of exactly 98°F at 4:17 PM on August 17, 2026—nine degrees above the 1991-2020 August normal of 89°F.**
A strong subtropical ridge over the Southeast delivered clear skies, abundant solar insolation, and light winds that allowed surface temperatures to climb steadily through the afternoon without significant convective interference or cloud shading. Model guidance from NWS and AccuWeather had converged on a 97-99°F high in the days leading up to the event, and the observed value aligned precisely with the upper end of that range.
The only realistic scenarios that could have shifted the outcome were an earlier or more widespread outbreak of thunderstorms capable of cutting insolation, or a last-minute shift in steering flow that introduced cooler marine air—neither materialized. With the official observation now in hand and resolution criteria tied directly to the KATL station reading, the market-implied probability reflects the definitive measured result rather than forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$42,095Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in at 100% on the 98-99°F bin because official National Weather Service observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) recorded a daily maximum of exactly 98°F at 4:17 PM on August 17, 2026—nine degrees above the 1991-2020 August normal of 89°F.**
A strong subtropical ridge over the Southeast delivered clear skies, abundant solar insolation, and light winds that allowed surface temperatures to climb steadily through the afternoon without significant convective interference or cloud shading. Model guidance from NWS and AccuWeather had converged on a 97-99°F high in the days leading up to the event, and the observed value aligned precisely with the upper end of that range.
The only realistic scenarios that could have shifted the outcome were an earlier or more widespread outbreak of thunderstorms capable of cutting insolation, or a last-minute shift in steering flow that introduced cooler marine air—neither materialized. With the official observation now in hand and resolution criteria tied directly to the KATL station reading, the market-implied probability reflects the definitive measured result rather than forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42,095Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked in at 100% on the 98-99°F bin because official National Weather Service observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) recorded a daily maximum of exactly 98°F at 4:17 PM on August 17, 2026—nine degrees above the 1991-2020 August normal of 89°F.** A strong subtropical ridge over the Southeast delivered clear skies, abundant solar insolation, and light winds that allowed surface temperatures to climb steadily through the afternoon without significant convective interference or cloud shading. Model guidance from NWS and AccuWeather had converged on a 97-99°F high in the days leading up to the event, and the observed value aligned precisely with the upper end of that range. The only realistic scenarios that could have shifted the outcome were an earlier or more widespread outbreak of thunderstorms capable of cutting insolation, or a last-minute shift in steering flow that introduced cooler marine air—neither materialized. With the official observation now in hand and resolution criteria tied directly to the KATL station reading, the market-implied probability reflects the definitive measured result rather than forecast uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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