Florida's 2026 special Senate election features Republican appointee Ashley Moody, who replaced Marco Rubio after his resignation to join the Trump administration, facing Democratic primary contenders including Alex Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon. Moody's prior statewide victories as attorney general and early name recognition have contributed to consistent polling leads since March, typically in the mid-single to low-double digits. The state's recent federal election patterns favoring Republicans further bolster trader consensus around an 81% probability for a Republican win. Upcoming August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election represent key milestones that could influence final positioning ahead of the two-year term completion.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlorida Senate Election Winner
$40,915 Обс.
$40,915 Обс.

Republican
81%

Democrat
19%
$40,915 Обс.
$40,915 Обс.

Republican
81%

Democrat
19%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 special Senate election features Republican appointee Ashley Moody, who replaced Marco Rubio after his resignation to join the Trump administration, facing Democratic primary contenders including Alex Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon. Moody's prior statewide victories as attorney general and early name recognition have contributed to consistent polling leads since March, typically in the mid-single to low-double digits. The state's recent federal election patterns favoring Republicans further bolster trader consensus around an 81% probability for a Republican win. Upcoming August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election represent key milestones that could influence final positioning ahead of the two-year term completion.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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