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icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

14% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
14% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Senator John Fetterman has shown no intention of vacating his Pennsylvania Senate seat before the end of 2026.** His term runs through January 2029, and he remains active in legislative work, including securing priorities in the bipartisan Water Resources Development Act as recently as early August 2026. Public statements reinforce continuity: in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed, Fetterman explicitly ruled out leaving the Democratic Party or switching to the GOP, describing himself as a poor fit for the latter despite ongoing intraparty tensions. Health-related concerns peaked in November 2025 with a brief hospitalization after a fall tied to a ventricular fibrillation flare-up, but he recovered quickly with only minor injuries and returned to duties. No subsequent medical issues have surfaced in 2026 reporting. Staff turnover, including a chief of staff departure in May 2026, and criticism from some Pennsylvania Democrats and progressives over his Israel stance and bipartisan votes have fueled speculation, yet these have not translated into resignation signals or procedural moves. Trader consensus at roughly 86% for “No” aligns with the absence of confirmed departure plans, upcoming electoral timelines, or acute health developments that would force an exit within the resolution window. Any shift would likely require a major unforeseen catalyst, such as a sudden health event or formal announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,296
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Senator John Fetterman has shown no intention of vacating his Pennsylvania Senate seat before the end of 2026.** His term runs through January 2029, and he remains active in legislative work, including securing priorities in the bipartisan Water Resources Development Act as recently as early August 2026. Public statements reinforce continuity: in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed, Fetterman explicitly ruled out leaving the Democratic Party or switching to the GOP, describing himself as a poor fit for the latter despite ongoing intraparty tensions. Health-related concerns peaked in November 2025 with a brief hospitalization after a fall tied to a ventricular fibrillation flare-up, but he recovered quickly with only minor injuries and returned to duties. No subsequent medical issues have surfaced in 2026 reporting. Staff turnover, including a chief of staff departure in May 2026, and criticism from some Pennsylvania Democrats and progressives over his Israel stance and bipartisan votes have fueled speculation, yet these have not translated into resignation signals or procedural moves. Trader consensus at roughly 86% for “No” aligns with the absence of confirmed departure plans, upcoming electoral timelines, or acute health developments that would force an exit within the resolution window. Any shift would likely require a major unforeseen catalyst, such as a sudden health event or formal announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,296
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 14% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 14¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 14%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Nov 14, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?» — 14% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 14% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.