**Ongoing containment of the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda underpins the 96.3% market-implied probability of no 2026 Ebola pandemic.** As of mid-August 2026, confirmed cases total approximately 4,966 with over 2,300 deaths, primarily in Ituri province, following a May declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Official CDC and WHO assessments show very low risk of sustained international spread, with no confirmed U.S. cases and Uganda’s smaller cluster resolved by late July. Effective surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation have limited transmission despite rapid early growth. The primary catalyst remains the absence of exponential global dissemination typical of pandemics. Traders assign near-certainty to regional containment through year-end, though new exportations to urban centers or additional countries could shift dynamics if surveillance gaps emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% шанс
$692,078 Обс.
$692,078 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
4% шанс
$692,078 Обс.
$692,078 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing containment of the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda underpins the 96.3% market-implied probability of no 2026 Ebola pandemic.** As of mid-August 2026, confirmed cases total approximately 4,966 with over 2,300 deaths, primarily in Ituri province, following a May declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Official CDC and WHO assessments show very low risk of sustained international spread, with no confirmed U.S. cases and Uganda’s smaller cluster resolved by late July. Effective surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation have limited transmission despite rapid early growth. The primary catalyst remains the absence of exponential global dissemination typical of pandemics. Traders assign near-certainty to regional containment through year-end, though new exportations to urban centers or additional countries could shift dynamics if surveillance gaps emerge.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$692,078Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing containment of the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda underpins the 96.3% market-implied probability of no 2026 Ebola pandemic.** As of mid-August 2026, confirmed cases total approximately 4,966 with over 2,300 deaths, primarily in Ituri province, following a May declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Official CDC and WHO assessments show very low risk of sustained international spread, with no confirmed U.S. cases and Uganda’s smaller cluster resolved by late July. Effective surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation have limited transmission despite rapid early growth. The primary catalyst remains the absence of exponential global dissemination typical of pandemics. Traders assign near-certainty to regional containment through year-end, though new exportations to urban centers or additional countries could shift dynamics if surveillance gaps emerge.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$692,078Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing containment of the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda underpins the 96.3% market-implied probability of no 2026 Ebola pandemic.** As of mid-August 2026, confirmed cases total approximately 4,966 with over 2,300 deaths, primarily in Ituri province, following a May declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Official CDC and WHO assessments show very low risk of sustained international spread, with no confirmed U.S. cases and Uganda’s smaller cluster resolved by late July. Effective surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation have limited transmission despite rapid early growth. The primary catalyst remains the absence of exponential global dissemination typical of pandemics. Traders assign near-certainty to regional containment through year-end, though new exportations to urban centers or additional countries could shift dynamics if surveillance gaps emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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