Recent August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month against a 0.2% consensus, exceeding forecasts amid gains in airline fares, communication services, and shelter that offset some goods softness, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4%. This hotter-than-expected print has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate increase at the September 16 FOMC meeting, with traders now pricing roughly 85% odds of a 25-basis-point hike amid persistent services inflation and geopolitical energy pressures. For the September reading due mid-October, closely matched probabilities around 0.1–0.3% reflect uncertainty over whether the August acceleration signals stickier underlying trends or a one-off, with upcoming labor data and any further commodity moves serving as key swing factors for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.2% 27%
0.3% 22%
0.1% 21%
≤0.0% 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
14%
0.1%
21%
0.2%
27%
0.3%
22%
0.4%
13%
0.5%
5%
0.6%+
6%
0.2% 27%
0.3% 22%
0.1% 21%
≤0.0% 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
$24 Обс.
14%
0.1%
$26 Обс.
21%
0.2%
$37 Обс.
27%
0.3%
$50 Обс.
22%
0.4%
$10 Обс.
13%
0.5%
$73 Обс.
5%
0.6%+
$117 Обс.
6%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month against a 0.2% consensus, exceeding forecasts amid gains in airline fares, communication services, and shelter that offset some goods softness, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4%. This hotter-than-expected print has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate increase at the September 16 FOMC meeting, with traders now pricing roughly 85% odds of a 25-basis-point hike amid persistent services inflation and geopolitical energy pressures. For the September reading due mid-October, closely matched probabilities around 0.1–0.3% reflect uncertainty over whether the August acceleration signals stickier underlying trends or a one-off, with upcoming labor data and any further commodity moves serving as key swing factors for resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$336Дата завершення
Oct 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month against a 0.2% consensus, exceeding forecasts amid gains in airline fares, communication services, and shelter that offset some goods softness, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4%. This hotter-than-expected print has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate increase at the September 16 FOMC meeting, with traders now pricing roughly 85% odds of a 25-basis-point hike amid persistent services inflation and geopolitical energy pressures. For the September reading due mid-October, closely matched probabilities around 0.1–0.3% reflect uncertainty over whether the August acceleration signals stickier underlying trends or a one-off, with upcoming labor data and any further commodity moves serving as key swing factors for resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$336Дата завершення
Oct 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month against a 0.2% consensus, exceeding forecasts amid gains in airline fares, communication services, and shelter that offset some goods softness, while the annual core rate eased to 2.4%. This hotter-than-expected print has lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate increase at the September 16 FOMC meeting, with traders now pricing roughly 85% odds of a 25-basis-point hike amid persistent services inflation and geopolitical energy pressures. For the September reading due mid-October, closely matched probabilities around 0.1–0.3% reflect uncertainty over whether the August acceleration signals stickier underlying trends or a one-off, with upcoming labor data and any further commodity moves serving as key swing factors for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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