Rapid iteration across frontier AI labs has created a tight contest for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of August, with no clear leader as multiple models demonstrate comparable strengths in competition-level problem solving and abstract reasoning. OpenAI's GPT-5 series and Anthropic's latest Claude variants lead several math benchmarks through advanced chain-of-thought techniques and extended inference, while Chinese labs including DeepSeek, Alibaba's Qwen, and Moonshot push performance with efficient mixture-of-experts architectures and strong results on AIME-style tasks. LiveBench's contamination-free design and June 2026 refresh emphasize fresh problems, amplifying small differences in model training data and post-training alignment. Traders see high uncertainty because further fine-tuning, new releases, or benchmark updates before month-end could shift rankings quickly among the dozen-plus contenders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of August?
OpenAI 45%
Anthropic 38%
Xiaomi 35%
DeepSeek 21%

OpenAI
49%

Anthropic
29%

Xiaomi
35%

DeepSeek
21%

20%

Alibaba
15%

SpaceXAI
13%

ByteDance
13%

Baidu
9%

Z.ai
9%

Thinky
6%

Nvidia
7%

Mistral
3%

Tencent
3%

Amazon
3%

Meta
12%

Moonshot
15%

Meituan
1%

StepFun
1%

Microsoft
1%

MiniMax
-
OpenAI 45%
Anthropic 38%
Xiaomi 35%
DeepSeek 21%

OpenAI
49%

Anthropic
29%

Xiaomi
35%

DeepSeek
21%

20%

Alibaba
15%

SpaceXAI
13%

ByteDance
13%

Baidu
9%

Z.ai
9%

Thinky
6%

Nvidia
7%

Mistral
3%

Tencent
3%

Amazon
3%

Meta
12%

Moonshot
15%

Meituan
1%

StepFun
1%

Microsoft
1%

MiniMax
-
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolution Source
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rapid iteration across frontier AI labs has created a tight contest for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of August, with no clear leader as multiple models demonstrate comparable strengths in competition-level problem solving and abstract reasoning. OpenAI's GPT-5 series and Anthropic's latest Claude variants lead several math benchmarks through advanced chain-of-thought techniques and extended inference, while Chinese labs including DeepSeek, Alibaba's Qwen, and Moonshot push performance with efficient mixture-of-experts architectures and strong results on AIME-style tasks. LiveBench's contamination-free design and June 2026 refresh emphasize fresh problems, amplifying small differences in model training data and post-training alignment. Traders see high uncertainty because further fine-tuning, new releases, or benchmark updates before month-end could shift rankings quickly among the dozen-plus contenders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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