Frontier AI labs remain locked in a tight race for LiveBench Mathematics leadership through September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting evenly matched probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders alongside Anthropic at 32% and ByteDance at 30.5%. Recent releases of high-effort reasoning variants, including Claude 5 Opus Thinking and GPT-5.6 Sol, have narrowed gaps on objective, contamination-free math tasks drawn from fresh competition problems, highlighting how post-training techniques and inference scaling now drive differentiation more than raw model size. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Kimi continue closing in through specialized training data and efficient architectures, while OpenAI and Google maintain steady pressure via iterative GPT and Gemini updates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model drops in the next eight weeks represent the main catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
ByteDance 62%
Microsoft 36%
StepFun 31%
OpenAI 27%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 30, 2026
ByteDance
62%
Microsoft
36%
StepFun
31%
OpenAI
27%
Alibaba
24%
Anthropic
38%
Z.ai
19%
Baidu
5%
Amazon
5%
MiniMax
5%
Meta
5%
14%
Moonshot
5%
SpaceXAI
14%
DeepSeek
5%
Mistral
18%
Meituan
5%
Nvidia
20%
Xiaomi
4%
Thinky
15%
Tencent
1%
ByteDance 62%
Microsoft 36%
StepFun 31%
OpenAI 27%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 30, 2026
ByteDance
$54 Vol.
62%
Microsoft
$72 Vol.
36%
StepFun
$72 Vol.
31%
OpenAI
$63 Vol.
27%
Alibaba
$52 Vol.
24%
Anthropic
$52 Vol.
38%
Z.ai
$52 Vol.
19%
Baidu
$52 Vol.
5%
Amazon
$53 Vol.
5%
MiniMax
$53 Vol.
5%
Meta
$52 Vol.
5%
$52 Vol.
14%
Moonshot
$52 Vol.
5%
SpaceXAI
$52 Vol.
14%
DeepSeek
$52 Vol.
5%
Mistral
$52 Vol.
18%
Meituan
$52 Vol.
5%
Nvidia
$52 Vol.
20%
Xiaomi
$44 Vol.
4%
Thinky
$72 Vol.
15%
Tencent
$76 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Frontier AI labs remain locked in a tight race for LiveBench Mathematics leadership through September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting evenly matched probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders alongside Anthropic at 32% and ByteDance at 30.5%. Recent releases of high-effort reasoning variants, including Claude 5 Opus Thinking and GPT-5.6 Sol, have narrowed gaps on objective, contamination-free math tasks drawn from fresh competition problems, highlighting how post-training techniques and inference scaling now drive differentiation more than raw model size. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Kimi continue closing in through specialized training data and efficient architectures, while OpenAI and Google maintain steady pressure via iterative GPT and Gemini updates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model drops in the next eight weeks represent the main catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$1,189Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Frontier AI labs remain locked in a tight race for LiveBench Mathematics leadership through September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting evenly matched probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders alongside Anthropic at 32% and ByteDance at 30.5%. Recent releases of high-effort reasoning variants, including Claude 5 Opus Thinking and GPT-5.6 Sol, have narrowed gaps on objective, contamination-free math tasks drawn from fresh competition problems, highlighting how post-training techniques and inference scaling now drive differentiation more than raw model size. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Kimi continue closing in through specialized training data and efficient architectures, while OpenAI and Google maintain steady pressure via iterative GPT and Gemini updates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model drops in the next eight weeks represent the main catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$1,189Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Frontier AI labs remain locked in a tight race for LiveBench Mathematics leadership through September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting evenly matched probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders alongside Anthropic at 32% and ByteDance at 30.5%. Recent releases of high-effort reasoning variants, including Claude 5 Opus Thinking and GPT-5.6 Sol, have narrowed gaps on objective, contamination-free math tasks drawn from fresh competition problems, highlighting how post-training techniques and inference scaling now drive differentiation more than raw model size. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Kimi continue closing in through specialized training data and efficient architectures, while OpenAI and Google maintain steady pressure via iterative GPT and Gemini updates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model drops in the next eight weeks represent the main catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong