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icon for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

icon for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

MiniMax 88%

Meituan 88%

Baidu 45%

Amazon 45%

Polymarket
BAGO

MiniMax 88%

Meituan 88%

Baidu 45%

Amazon 45%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$80 Vol.

88%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$50 Vol.

88%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$50 Vol.

45%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$50 Vol.

45%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$50 Vol.

44%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$50 Vol.

44%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$50 Vol.

44%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$50 Vol.

43%

icon for Google

Google

$50 Vol.

42%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$50 Vol.

42%

icon for Meta

Meta

$50 Vol.

40%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$50 Vol.

40%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$50 Vol.

36%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$50 Vol.

36%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$50 Vol.

35%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$50 Vol.

33%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$50 Vol.

33%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$50 Vol.

33%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$50 Vol.

33%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$50 Vol.

32%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$70 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude 5 family, including Fable 5 and Opus variants with max-effort reasoning modes, currently tops LiveBench overall at scores around 83, narrowly ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 Thinking releases near 81. This tight race stems from rapid 2026 iterations in large language model scale, post-training alignment, and inference-time compute that boost performance across math, coding, and reasoning categories on the contamination-free benchmark. Traders see Anthropic's edge in demonstrated consistency and OpenAI's strength in raw capability as key swing factors, with Chinese labs like Moonshot (Kimi) and MiniMax close behind but trailing on aggregate. Upcoming August updates or new model drops from these labs could shift the market-implied odds before month-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$1,100
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://livebench.ai/
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude 5 family, including Fable 5 and Opus variants with max-effort reasoning modes, currently tops LiveBench overall at scores around 83, narrowly ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 Thinking releases near 81. This tight race stems from rapid 2026 iterations in large language model scale, post-training alignment, and inference-time compute that boost performance across math, coding, and reasoning categories on the contamination-free benchmark. Traders see Anthropic's edge in demonstrated consistency and OpenAI's strength in raw capability as key swing factors, with Chinese labs like Moonshot (Kimi) and MiniMax close behind but trailing on aggregate. Upcoming August updates or new model drops from these labs could shift the market-implied odds before month-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$1,100
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://livebench.ai/
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Anthropic" sa 46%, sinusundan ng "Baidu" sa 45%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 46¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 46% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 29, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?" ay "Anthropic" sa 46%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 46% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Baidu" sa 45%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.