Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Tokyo on August 1, reflecting typical midsummer conditions with elevated overnight humidity and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, but recent model runs and observed trends support a slightly warmer low this period. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability aligns with this evidence-based outlook from official sources. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted heavy cloud cover, precipitation, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
26°C 98%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
$16,305 Vol.
$16,305 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
$16,305 Vol.
$16,305 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$348 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$506 Vol.
1%
25°C
$845 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,374 Vol.
98%
27°C
$10,067 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,181 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Tokyo on August 1, reflecting typical midsummer conditions with elevated overnight humidity and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, but recent model runs and observed trends support a slightly warmer low this period. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability aligns with this evidence-based outlook from official sources. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted heavy cloud cover, precipitation, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,305Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Tokyo on August 1, reflecting typical midsummer conditions with elevated overnight humidity and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, but recent model runs and observed trends support a slightly warmer low this period. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability aligns with this evidence-based outlook from official sources. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted heavy cloud cover, precipitation, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,305Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Tokyo on August 1, reflecting typical midsummer conditions with elevated overnight humidity and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, but recent model runs and observed trends support a slightly warmer low this period. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability aligns with this evidence-based outlook from official sources. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted heavy cloud cover, precipitation, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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