**Persistent high-pressure systems and seasonal above-normal temperature outlooks from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) are driving trader expectations toward 34–36°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum.** JMA’s latest forecast issued August 1 projects clear skies turning partly cloudy with a 36°C high, consistent with AccuWeather’s 97°F (36°C) call and broader summer guidance of elevated Pacific High influence producing frequent 33–37°C days. The tight clustering around 34°C (38.5%) and 35°C (34%) versus 36°C (15%) reflects modest uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification, exact cloud timing, and minor model spread in peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C and 2026’s early extremely hot days (≥35°C) support elevated odds, while low probabilities above 37°C align with the limited intensification window before any late-day cooling. Upcoming JMA updates and real-time observations will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
34°C 44%
35°C 32%
36°C 12%
33°C 10%
$39,790 Vol.
$39,790 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
10%
34°C
44%
35°C
32%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 32%
36°C 12%
33°C 10%
$39,790 Vol.
$39,790 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
$2,224 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,333 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,359 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,700 Vol.
10%
34°C
$2,544 Vol.
44%
35°C
$2,981 Vol.
32%
36°C
$3,361 Vol.
12%
37°C
$3,503 Vol.
4%
38°C
$4,088 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,539 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure systems and seasonal above-normal temperature outlooks from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) are driving trader expectations toward 34–36°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum.** JMA’s latest forecast issued August 1 projects clear skies turning partly cloudy with a 36°C high, consistent with AccuWeather’s 97°F (36°C) call and broader summer guidance of elevated Pacific High influence producing frequent 33–37°C days. The tight clustering around 34°C (38.5%) and 35°C (34%) versus 36°C (15%) reflects modest uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification, exact cloud timing, and minor model spread in peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C and 2026’s early extremely hot days (≥35°C) support elevated odds, while low probabilities above 37°C align with the limited intensification window before any late-day cooling. Upcoming JMA updates and real-time observations will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$39,790Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure systems and seasonal above-normal temperature outlooks from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) are driving trader expectations toward 34–36°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum.** JMA’s latest forecast issued August 1 projects clear skies turning partly cloudy with a 36°C high, consistent with AccuWeather’s 97°F (36°C) call and broader summer guidance of elevated Pacific High influence producing frequent 33–37°C days. The tight clustering around 34°C (38.5%) and 35°C (34%) versus 36°C (15%) reflects modest uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification, exact cloud timing, and minor model spread in peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C and 2026’s early extremely hot days (≥35°C) support elevated odds, while low probabilities above 37°C align with the limited intensification window before any late-day cooling. Upcoming JMA updates and real-time observations will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,790Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high-pressure systems and seasonal above-normal temperature outlooks from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) are driving trader expectations toward 34–36°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum.** JMA’s latest forecast issued August 1 projects clear skies turning partly cloudy with a 36°C high, consistent with AccuWeather’s 97°F (36°C) call and broader summer guidance of elevated Pacific High influence producing frequent 33–37°C days. The tight clustering around 34°C (38.5%) and 35°C (34%) versus 36°C (15%) reflects modest uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification, exact cloud timing, and minor model spread in peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C and 2026’s early extremely hot days (≥35°C) support elevated odds, while low probabilities above 37°C align with the limited intensification window before any late-day cooling. Upcoming JMA updates and real-time observations will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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