Official forecasts from PAGASA for August 1, 2026, point to a Manila high near 31–32°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and 40% rain chances moderating daytime heating through persistent cloud cover. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology of 31°C maxima amid high humidity and frequent convective activity, though localized breaks in cloudiness or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C reflect trader focus on these short-term steering patterns and model consensus, where urban heat island effects in Metro Manila add minor upward bias but monsoon-driven moisture typically caps extremes below 34°C. Updated agency briefings on steering winds and instability will refine the final observed peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 1?
32°C 45%
33°C 38%
31°C 12%
34°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 1, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
12%
32°C
45%
33°C
38%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
33°C 38%
31°C 12%
34°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 1, 2026
27°C or below
$263 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$789 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$600 Vol.
12%
32°C
$1,037 Vol.
45%
33°C
$907 Vol.
38%
34°C
$1,619 Vol.
9%
35°C
$1,394 Vol.
2%
36°C
$689 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$451 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA for August 1, 2026, point to a Manila high near 31–32°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and 40% rain chances moderating daytime heating through persistent cloud cover. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology of 31°C maxima amid high humidity and frequent convective activity, though localized breaks in cloudiness or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C reflect trader focus on these short-term steering patterns and model consensus, where urban heat island effects in Metro Manila add minor upward bias but monsoon-driven moisture typically caps extremes below 34°C. Updated agency briefings on steering winds and instability will refine the final observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$9,893Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA for August 1, 2026, point to a Manila high near 31–32°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and 40% rain chances moderating daytime heating through persistent cloud cover. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology of 31°C maxima amid high humidity and frequent convective activity, though localized breaks in cloudiness or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C reflect trader focus on these short-term steering patterns and model consensus, where urban heat island effects in Metro Manila add minor upward bias but monsoon-driven moisture typically caps extremes below 34°C. Updated agency briefings on steering winds and instability will refine the final observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,893Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA for August 1, 2026, point to a Manila high near 31–32°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and 40% rain chances moderating daytime heating through persistent cloud cover. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology of 31°C maxima amid high humidity and frequent convective activity, though localized breaks in cloudiness or delayed rain could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C reflect trader focus on these short-term steering patterns and model consensus, where urban heat island effects in Metro Manila add minor upward bias but monsoon-driven moisture typically caps extremes below 34°C. Updated agency briefings on steering winds and instability will refine the final observed peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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