Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and multiple numerical models indicate Seoul-Incheon overnight temperatures will bottom out near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow on September 18. This consensus aligns with observed early-morning readings and typical late-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs around 28°C. Trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 19°C reflects this strong model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns. A realistic challenge would require either clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling below forecast or an unanticipated influx of cooler air from the north, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
19°C 98%
17°C 2.9%
18°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
BAGO
$11,382 Vol.
BAGO
$11,382 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
98%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 98%
17°C 2.9%
18°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
BAGO
$11,382 Vol.
BAGO
$11,382 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$623 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$682 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,184 Vol.
1%
19°C
$3,303 Vol.
98%
20°C
$2,178 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,719 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,216 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and multiple numerical models indicate Seoul-Incheon overnight temperatures will bottom out near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow on September 18. This consensus aligns with observed early-morning readings and typical late-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs around 28°C. Trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 19°C reflects this strong model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns. A realistic challenge would require either clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling below forecast or an unanticipated influx of cooler air from the north, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,382Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and multiple numerical models indicate Seoul-Incheon overnight temperatures will bottom out near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow on September 18. This consensus aligns with observed early-morning readings and typical late-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs around 28°C. Trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 19°C reflects this strong model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns. A realistic challenge would require either clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling below forecast or an unanticipated influx of cooler air from the north, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,382Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and multiple numerical models indicate Seoul-Incheon overnight temperatures will bottom out near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow on September 18. This consensus aligns with observed early-morning readings and typical late-September climatology for the region, where radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs around 28°C. Trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 19°C reflects this strong model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns. A realistic challenge would require either clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling below forecast or an unanticipated influx of cooler air from the north, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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