Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a daily maximum in central NYC between 78°F and 83°F on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with light south winds around 8–10 mph. This setup limits full insolation while preventing significant cooling, yielding afternoon readings near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76°F. Trader positioning, with 43% implied probability on 80–81°F and 30.5% on 82–83°F, aligns with this narrow range, as any brief clearing could push readings toward the upper end before evening stabilization. Official Central Park observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on September 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 17?
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 12%
BAGO
$24,700 Vol.
BAGO
$24,700 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 12%
BAGO
$24,700 Vol.
BAGO
$24,700 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
71°F or below
$218 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$402 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$468 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$717 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,669 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$5,888 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$5,846 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$5,735 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$1,028 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$306 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$453 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a daily maximum in central NYC between 78°F and 83°F on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with light south winds around 8–10 mph. This setup limits full insolation while preventing significant cooling, yielding afternoon readings near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76°F. Trader positioning, with 43% implied probability on 80–81°F and 30.5% on 82–83°F, aligns with this narrow range, as any brief clearing could push readings toward the upper end before evening stabilization. Official Central Park observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$24,700Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a daily maximum in central NYC between 78°F and 83°F on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with light south winds around 8–10 mph. This setup limits full insolation while preventing significant cooling, yielding afternoon readings near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76°F. Trader positioning, with 43% implied probability on 80–81°F and 30.5% on 82–83°F, aligns with this narrow range, as any brief clearing could push readings toward the upper end before evening stabilization. Official Central Park observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,700Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to a daily maximum in central NYC between 78°F and 83°F on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with light south winds around 8–10 mph. This setup limits full insolation while preventing significant cooling, yielding afternoon readings near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76°F. Trader positioning, with 43% implied probability on 80–81°F and 30.5% on 82–83°F, aligns with this narrow range, as any brief clearing could push readings toward the upper end before evening stabilization. Official Central Park observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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