**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping Manila's overnight minimum temperature elevated near 27–28°C on August 23, 2026.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical weather models (including GFS-derived forecasts) show extensive cloudiness, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (often 80–90%) across Metro Manila, which limits radiative cooling after sunset. This supports the market's strong preference for a 28°C low (59% implied probability), consistent with recent observed overnight readings around 27.5°C and forecast nighttime lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F) from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and local analyses. Lower outcomes around 23°C (33.5%) would require clearer skies and drier air for greater cooling, which current steering patterns and monsoon activity make unlikely. Temperatures of 21°C or below remain negligible (0.5%) given the tropical baseline and lack of cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and PAGASA's monsoon synopsis, which emphasize continued cloudy, humid conditions through the night.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
23°C 28%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
28%
24°C
16%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
59%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 28%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
22°C
$36 Vol.
1%
23°C
$74 Vol.
28%
24°C
$67 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$87 Vol.
59%
29°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$164 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping Manila's overnight minimum temperature elevated near 27–28°C on August 23, 2026.**
Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical weather models (including GFS-derived forecasts) show extensive cloudiness, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (often 80–90%) across Metro Manila, which limits radiative cooling after sunset. This supports the market's strong preference for a 28°C low (59% implied probability), consistent with recent observed overnight readings around 27.5°C and forecast nighttime lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F) from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and local analyses.
Lower outcomes around 23°C (33.5%) would require clearer skies and drier air for greater cooling, which current steering patterns and monsoon activity make unlikely. Temperatures of 21°C or below remain negligible (0.5%) given the tropical baseline and lack of cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and PAGASA's monsoon synopsis, which emphasize continued cloudy, humid conditions through the night.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$814Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping Manila's overnight minimum temperature elevated near 27–28°C on August 23, 2026.**
Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical weather models (including GFS-derived forecasts) show extensive cloudiness, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (often 80–90%) across Metro Manila, which limits radiative cooling after sunset. This supports the market's strong preference for a 28°C low (59% implied probability), consistent with recent observed overnight readings around 27.5°C and forecast nighttime lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F) from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and local analyses.
Lower outcomes around 23°C (33.5%) would require clearer skies and drier air for greater cooling, which current steering patterns and monsoon activity make unlikely. Temperatures of 21°C or below remain negligible (0.5%) given the tropical baseline and lack of cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and PAGASA's monsoon synopsis, which emphasize continued cloudy, humid conditions through the night.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$814Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover are the dominant factors keeping Manila's overnight minimum temperature elevated near 27–28°C on August 23, 2026.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical weather models (including GFS-derived forecasts) show extensive cloudiness, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (often 80–90%) across Metro Manila, which limits radiative cooling after sunset. This supports the market's strong preference for a 28°C low (59% implied probability), consistent with recent observed overnight readings around 27.5°C and forecast nighttime lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F) from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and local analyses. Lower outcomes around 23°C (33.5%) would require clearer skies and drier air for greater cooling, which current steering patterns and monsoon activity make unlikely. Temperatures of 21°C or below remain negligible (0.5%) given the tropical baseline and lack of cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and PAGASA's monsoon synopsis, which emphasize continued cloudy, humid conditions through the night.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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