Current forecast models from major meteorological centers indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul with light northerly flow, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for August 24 under mostly clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets reflect genuine uncertainty in precise overnight lows, driven by model spread in boundary-layer mixing, Sea of Marmara moderation effects, and official station measurement protocols that can vary by 1–2°C from urban heat-island influences. Historical climatology shows average August minima near 20–22°C, aligning with the current consensus range, while upcoming evening updates from regional numerical weather prediction runs will likely narrow the resolution criteria for this daily minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C or higher 40%
18°C or below 39%
19°C 37%
21°C 37%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
39%
19°C
37%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
20%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
40%
28°C or higher 40%
18°C or below 39%
19°C 37%
21°C 37%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
39%
19°C
$5 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$5 Vol.
28%
22°C
$5 Vol.
28%
23°C
$5 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$5 Vol.
8%
26°C
$5 Vol.
8%
27°C
$140 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$150 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from major meteorological centers indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul with light northerly flow, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for August 24 under mostly clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets reflect genuine uncertainty in precise overnight lows, driven by model spread in boundary-layer mixing, Sea of Marmara moderation effects, and official station measurement protocols that can vary by 1–2°C from urban heat-island influences. Historical climatology shows average August minima near 20–22°C, aligning with the current consensus range, while upcoming evening updates from regional numerical weather prediction runs will likely narrow the resolution criteria for this daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$325Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from major meteorological centers indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul with light northerly flow, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for August 24 under mostly clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets reflect genuine uncertainty in precise overnight lows, driven by model spread in boundary-layer mixing, Sea of Marmara moderation effects, and official station measurement protocols that can vary by 1–2°C from urban heat-island influences. Historical climatology shows average August minima near 20–22°C, aligning with the current consensus range, while upcoming evening updates from regional numerical weather prediction runs will likely narrow the resolution criteria for this daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$325Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from major meteorological centers indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul with light northerly flow, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for August 24 under mostly clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets reflect genuine uncertainty in precise overnight lows, driven by model spread in boundary-layer mixing, Sea of Marmara moderation effects, and official station measurement protocols that can vary by 1–2°C from urban heat-island influences. Historical climatology shows average August minima near 20–22°C, aligning with the current consensus range, while upcoming evening updates from regional numerical weather prediction runs will likely narrow the resolution criteria for this daily minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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