Recent ensemble forecasts and official guidance point to a most probable high of 28–29°C in Istanbul on August 24, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and moderating influence from the Sea of Marmara that limits daytime heating. Historical late-August climatology centers near 28–30°C, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting on 28°C (48.5%) and adjacent outcomes while keeping probabilities for 30°C+ below 10%. Short-range model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects at official stations, sustaining the current implied probabilities until the final observational data resolve the day’s peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C 54%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
54%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 54%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$38 Vol.
1%
24°C
$38 Vol.
1%
25°C
$192 Vol.
2%
26°C
$128 Vol.
5%
27°C
$672 Vol.
20%
28°C
$708 Vol.
54%
29°C
$170 Vol.
22%
30°C
$161 Vol.
5%
31°C
$81 Vol.
2%
32°C
$10 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$255 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and official guidance point to a most probable high of 28–29°C in Istanbul on August 24, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and moderating influence from the Sea of Marmara that limits daytime heating. Historical late-August climatology centers near 28–30°C, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting on 28°C (48.5%) and adjacent outcomes while keeping probabilities for 30°C+ below 10%. Short-range model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects at official stations, sustaining the current implied probabilities until the final observational data resolve the day’s peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,453Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and official guidance point to a most probable high of 28–29°C in Istanbul on August 24, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and moderating influence from the Sea of Marmara that limits daytime heating. Historical late-August climatology centers near 28–30°C, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting on 28°C (48.5%) and adjacent outcomes while keeping probabilities for 30°C+ below 10%. Short-range model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects at official stations, sustaining the current implied probabilities until the final observational data resolve the day’s peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,453Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts and official guidance point to a most probable high of 28–29°C in Istanbul on August 24, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and moderating influence from the Sea of Marmara that limits daytime heating. Historical late-August climatology centers near 28–30°C, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting on 28°C (48.5%) and adjacent outcomes while keeping probabilities for 30°C+ below 10%. Short-range model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects at official stations, sustaining the current implied probabilities until the final observational data resolve the day’s peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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