Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and light variable winds across the Sichuan Basin are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature in Chengdu anchored near 20-21°C according to multiple model runs. These stable, moist conditions—typical of late-summer monsoon influence—reduce the usual 5-7°C diurnal range and create tight clustering of forecast minima between roughly 19-22°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows only minor variations in overnight lows depending on exact timing of any light rain or fog development, which explains why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced across the 17-21°C outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Updated model runs and station observations through the night will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
18°C 100%
17°C 96%
15°C or below 90%
16°C 90%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
96%
18°C
100%
19°C
46%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100%
17°C 96%
15°C or below 90%
16°C 90%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
16°C
$0 Vol.
90%
17°C
$0 Vol.
96%
18°C
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$15 Vol.
46%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$34 Vol.
50%
22°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and light variable winds across the Sichuan Basin are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature in Chengdu anchored near 20-21°C according to multiple model runs. These stable, moist conditions—typical of late-summer monsoon influence—reduce the usual 5-7°C diurnal range and create tight clustering of forecast minima between roughly 19-22°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows only minor variations in overnight lows depending on exact timing of any light rain or fog development, which explains why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced across the 17-21°C outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Updated model runs and station observations through the night will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$173Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and light variable winds across the Sichuan Basin are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature in Chengdu anchored near 20-21°C according to multiple model runs. These stable, moist conditions—typical of late-summer monsoon influence—reduce the usual 5-7°C diurnal range and create tight clustering of forecast minima between roughly 19-22°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows only minor variations in overnight lows depending on exact timing of any light rain or fog development, which explains why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced across the 17-21°C outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Updated model runs and station observations through the night will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$173Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and light variable winds across the Sichuan Basin are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature in Chengdu anchored near 20-21°C according to multiple model runs. These stable, moist conditions—typical of late-summer monsoon influence—reduce the usual 5-7°C diurnal range and create tight clustering of forecast minima between roughly 19-22°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows only minor variations in overnight lows depending on exact timing of any light rain or fog development, which explains why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced across the 17-21°C outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Updated model runs and station observations through the night will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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