Recent atmospheric conditions over the Pearl River Delta, including a strengthening subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover, are driving elevated maximum temperatures in Guangzhou on September 18. Official forecasts from multiple models project a daily high near 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with only scattered showers possible, consistent with the region’s late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 32°C. Yesterday’s observed peak of 34.1°C and ongoing heat signal potential for modest exceedance if insolation remains strong and convection stays suppressed. Trader emphasis on 36–37°C implied probabilities reflects assessment of local measurement variability and upside risk in the final hours before official reporting closes. New model runs and station data later today will clarify whether the high crosses key thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
36°C 52%
37°C 39%
38°C or higher 3.3%
28°C or below <1%
$42,686 Vol.
$42,686 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
59%
37°C
39%
38°C or higher
3%
36°C 52%
37°C 39%
38°C or higher 3.3%
28°C or below <1%
$42,686 Vol.
$42,686 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$1,952 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$662 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,909 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,679 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,356 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$8,742 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$8,388 Vol.
59%
37°C
$5,058 Vol.
39%
38°C or higher
$7,148 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions over the Pearl River Delta, including a strengthening subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover, are driving elevated maximum temperatures in Guangzhou on September 18. Official forecasts from multiple models project a daily high near 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with only scattered showers possible, consistent with the region’s late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 32°C. Yesterday’s observed peak of 34.1°C and ongoing heat signal potential for modest exceedance if insolation remains strong and convection stays suppressed. Trader emphasis on 36–37°C implied probabilities reflects assessment of local measurement variability and upside risk in the final hours before official reporting closes. New model runs and station data later today will clarify whether the high crosses key thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$42,686Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions over the Pearl River Delta, including a strengthening subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover, are driving elevated maximum temperatures in Guangzhou on September 18. Official forecasts from multiple models project a daily high near 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with only scattered showers possible, consistent with the region’s late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 32°C. Yesterday’s observed peak of 34.1°C and ongoing heat signal potential for modest exceedance if insolation remains strong and convection stays suppressed. Trader emphasis on 36–37°C implied probabilities reflects assessment of local measurement variability and upside risk in the final hours before official reporting closes. New model runs and station data later today will clarify whether the high crosses key thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,686Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions over the Pearl River Delta, including a strengthening subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover, are driving elevated maximum temperatures in Guangzhou on September 18. Official forecasts from multiple models project a daily high near 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with only scattered showers possible, consistent with the region’s late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 32°C. Yesterday’s observed peak of 34.1°C and ongoing heat signal potential for modest exceedance if insolation remains strong and convection stays suppressed. Trader emphasis on 36–37°C implied probabilities reflects assessment of local measurement variability and upside risk in the final hours before official reporting closes. New model runs and station data later today will clarify whether the high crosses key thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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