Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate the daily minimum temperature on August 24 will likely settle between 22–24°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows partly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible convective showers, which could suppress the low by a degree or two through reduced outgoing longwave radiation, while lighter winds and clearer intervals would favor slightly warmer readings near 24–25°C. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 23–24°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance on precipitation timing and urban heat retention, typical for late-August conditions in the region where historical averages hover near 21–22°C. Updated model runs and official meteorological agency briefings expected overnight will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
24°C 38%
23°C 36%
22°C 27%
26°C 27%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
36%
24°C
38%
25°C
18%
26°C
27%
27°C
9%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
21%
24°C 38%
23°C 36%
22°C 27%
26°C 27%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
36%
24°C
38%
25°C
18%
26°C
27%
27°C
9%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate the daily minimum temperature on August 24 will likely settle between 22–24°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows partly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible convective showers, which could suppress the low by a degree or two through reduced outgoing longwave radiation, while lighter winds and clearer intervals would favor slightly warmer readings near 24–25°C. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 23–24°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance on precipitation timing and urban heat retention, typical for late-August conditions in the region where historical averages hover near 21–22°C. Updated model runs and official meteorological agency briefings expected overnight will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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