Current ensemble forecasts from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Warsaw on August 5 most likely between 37–38°C under clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because model runs show only modest spread in maximum values, with historical August baselines around 24–25°C making this a notable but not unprecedented heat event. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of the daily peak, urban heat island effects at official stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing that could shift the reading by 1°C. New model updates overnight and the final official observation will drive any late adjustments before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 5?
38°C 32%
37°C 27%
36°C 20%
39°C 10%
BAGO
$21,353 Vol.
BAGO
$21,353 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
20%
37°C
27%
38°C
32%
39°C
10%
40°C
4%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 32%
37°C 27%
36°C 20%
39°C 10%
BAGO
$21,353 Vol.
BAGO
$21,353 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
$3,848 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,782 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,934 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,624 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,280 Vol.
7%
36°C
$1,116 Vol.
20%
37°C
$859 Vol.
27%
38°C
$3,472 Vol.
32%
39°C
$2,320 Vol.
10%
40°C
$1,790 Vol.
4%
41°C or higher
$329 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Warsaw on August 5 most likely between 37–38°C under clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because model runs show only modest spread in maximum values, with historical August baselines around 24–25°C making this a notable but not unprecedented heat event. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of the daily peak, urban heat island effects at official stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing that could shift the reading by 1°C. New model updates overnight and the final official observation will drive any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$21,353Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Warsaw on August 5 most likely between 37–38°C under clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because model runs show only modest spread in maximum values, with historical August baselines around 24–25°C making this a notable but not unprecedented heat event. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of the daily peak, urban heat island effects at official stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing that could shift the reading by 1°C. New model updates overnight and the final official observation will drive any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,353Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Warsaw on August 5 most likely between 37–38°C under clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because model runs show only modest spread in maximum values, with historical August baselines around 24–25°C making this a notable but not unprecedented heat event. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of the daily peak, urban heat island effects at official stations, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing that could shift the reading by 1°C. New model updates overnight and the final official observation will drive any late adjustments before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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