Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models indicates mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers over Warsaw on August 18, limiting solar heating and capping the daytime maximum near 19–20°C. This synoptic setup, featuring increased cloud cover and modest precipitation chances, explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes, with traders weighting the latest runs showing slight cooling from Atlantic moisture. Official IMGW forecasts and ongoing model updates through the evening will clarify whether any breaks in cloud allow a brief push toward 20°C or keep readings closer to 19°C. Historical August variability in central Poland, where diurnal ranges average 8–10°C under similar patterns, underscores the remaining uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 18?
19°C 38%
20°C 34%
18°C 19%
21°C 9%
BAGO
$16,340 Vol.
BAGO
$16,340 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
19%
19°C
38%
20°C
34%
21°C
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 38%
20°C 34%
18°C 19%
21°C 9%
BAGO
$16,340 Vol.
BAGO
$16,340 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
$290 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$890 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,341 Vol.
4%
18°C
$4,223 Vol.
19%
19°C
$1,468 Vol.
38%
20°C
$3,750 Vol.
34%
21°C
$1,417 Vol.
9%
22°C
$709 Vol.
1%
23°C
$744 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models indicates mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers over Warsaw on August 18, limiting solar heating and capping the daytime maximum near 19–20°C. This synoptic setup, featuring increased cloud cover and modest precipitation chances, explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes, with traders weighting the latest runs showing slight cooling from Atlantic moisture. Official IMGW forecasts and ongoing model updates through the evening will clarify whether any breaks in cloud allow a brief push toward 20°C or keep readings closer to 19°C. Historical August variability in central Poland, where diurnal ranges average 8–10°C under similar patterns, underscores the remaining uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$16,340Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models indicates mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers over Warsaw on August 18, limiting solar heating and capping the daytime maximum near 19–20°C. This synoptic setup, featuring increased cloud cover and modest precipitation chances, explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes, with traders weighting the latest runs showing slight cooling from Atlantic moisture. Official IMGW forecasts and ongoing model updates through the evening will clarify whether any breaks in cloud allow a brief push toward 20°C or keep readings closer to 19°C. Historical August variability in central Poland, where diurnal ranges average 8–10°C under similar patterns, underscores the remaining uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,340Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models indicates mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers over Warsaw on August 18, limiting solar heating and capping the daytime maximum near 19–20°C. This synoptic setup, featuring increased cloud cover and modest precipitation chances, explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes, with traders weighting the latest runs showing slight cooling from Atlantic moisture. Official IMGW forecasts and ongoing model updates through the evening will clarify whether any breaks in cloud allow a brief push toward 20°C or keep readings closer to 19°C. Historical August variability in central Poland, where diurnal ranges average 8–10°C under similar patterns, underscores the remaining uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong