Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a high of 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 18 under increasing cloud cover and light southerly winds, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability. This reflects the tail end of an early-August heat episode across Shandong that produced localized readings above 37°C, now giving way to more moderate maritime influence from the Yellow Sea that caps daytime maxima. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential due to expected cloud build-up, keeping 34°C a solid secondary outcome at 29% while pushing probabilities for 35°C or higher below 7%. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 18?
33°C 51%
34°C 27%
32°C 19%
35°C 6%
BAGO
$10,294 Vol.
BAGO
$10,294 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
19%
33°C
51%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
34°C 27%
32°C 19%
35°C 6%
BAGO
$10,294 Vol.
BAGO
$10,294 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$277 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$821 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$456 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,132 Vol.
3%
32°C
$633 Vol.
19%
33°C
$2,656 Vol.
51%
34°C
$1,514 Vol.
27%
35°C
$665 Vol.
6%
36°C
$1,379 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$580 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a high of 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 18 under increasing cloud cover and light southerly winds, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability. This reflects the tail end of an early-August heat episode across Shandong that produced localized readings above 37°C, now giving way to more moderate maritime influence from the Yellow Sea that caps daytime maxima. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential due to expected cloud build-up, keeping 34°C a solid secondary outcome at 29% while pushing probabilities for 35°C or higher below 7%. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$10,294Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a high of 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 18 under increasing cloud cover and light southerly winds, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability. This reflects the tail end of an early-August heat episode across Shandong that produced localized readings above 37°C, now giving way to more moderate maritime influence from the Yellow Sea that caps daytime maxima. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential due to expected cloud build-up, keeping 34°C a solid secondary outcome at 29% while pushing probabilities for 35°C or higher below 7%. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,294Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a high of 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 18 under increasing cloud cover and light southerly winds, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability. This reflects the tail end of an early-August heat episode across Shandong that produced localized readings above 37°C, now giving way to more moderate maritime influence from the Yellow Sea that caps daytime maxima. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential due to expected cloud build-up, keeping 34°C a solid secondary outcome at 29% while pushing probabilities for 35°C or higher below 7%. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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