Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks position 35°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s August 1 high, with trader consensus reflecting above-normal temperatures expected during the monsoon period. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s August 2026 outlook indicates mean temperatures 0.6°C above the 1991–2020 baseline across Sindh, consistent with broader model consensus for warmer conditions amid an active monsoon. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, with daily highs rarely exceeding 34°C, yet recent observations and extended-range guidance show potential for brief peaks near 35–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies before any widespread rain develops. Coastal humidity and possible cloud cover or showers could cap extremes, explaining why probabilities for 37°C or higher remain low while 34–36°C capture the bulk of market-implied odds. Updated PMD and numerical model runs over the coming hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on August 1?
35°C 64%
36°C 31%
34°C 4%
37°C <1%
$34,391 Vol.
$34,391 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
64%
36°C
31%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 64%
36°C 31%
34°C 4%
37°C <1%
$34,391 Vol.
$34,391 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
64%
36°C
31%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and seasonal outlooks position 35°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s August 1 high, with trader consensus reflecting above-normal temperatures expected during the monsoon period. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s August 2026 outlook indicates mean temperatures 0.6°C above the 1991–2020 baseline across Sindh, consistent with broader model consensus for warmer conditions amid an active monsoon. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, with daily highs rarely exceeding 34°C, yet recent observations and extended-range guidance show potential for brief peaks near 35–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies before any widespread rain develops. Coastal humidity and possible cloud cover or showers could cap extremes, explaining why probabilities for 37°C or higher remain low while 34–36°C capture the bulk of market-implied odds. Updated PMD and numerical model runs over the coming hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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