Current forecasts for Amsterdam indicate a high near 19°C as the most likely outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting strong trader consensus around 18–19°C. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow over the North Sea region, keeping daytime maxima close to seasonal norms for mid-September. European model runs, including recent ECMWF updates, show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress or enhance readings. Historical data place average September highs around 18–20°C, and the absence of significant warm-air advection or cold fronts supports the narrow probability distribution. Updated observations through midday will refine final resolution as traders monitor real-time station data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
19°C 56%
18°C 39%
20°C 6%
17°C 1.3%
$22,585 Vol.
$22,585 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
39%
19°C
56%
20°C
6%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 56%
18°C 39%
20°C 6%
17°C 1.3%
$22,585 Vol.
$22,585 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
39%
19°C
56%
20°C
6%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Amsterdam indicate a high near 19°C as the most likely outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting strong trader consensus around 18–19°C. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow over the North Sea region, keeping daytime maxima close to seasonal norms for mid-September. European model runs, including recent ECMWF updates, show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress or enhance readings. Historical data place average September highs around 18–20°C, and the absence of significant warm-air advection or cold fronts supports the narrow probability distribution. Updated observations through midday will refine final resolution as traders monitor real-time station data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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