Recent polling shows Donald Trump’s job approval hovering near historic second-term lows around 34-39 percent, pressured by the ongoing Iran conflict, elevated gas prices, and broader economic discontent ahead of the November midterms. These factors have produced steady readings across major aggregators with limited week-to-week movement, leaving the August 14 measurement tightly bunched across the 37-39 range in trader pricing. The narrow spread reflects the absence of major new catalysts in recent days and the typical short-term stability of presidential approval. A decisive diplomatic development on Iran, sharper movement in energy prices, or an unexpected economic data release before the resolution date could shift the outcome into one bin or another.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว37.5–37.9 36%
38.0–38.4 36%
37.0–37.4 35%
38.5–38.9 35%
<37.0
24%
37.0–37.4
35%
37.5–37.9
36%
38.0–38.4
36%
38.5–38.9
35%
39.0+
35%
37.5–37.9 36%
38.0–38.4 36%
37.0–37.4 35%
38.5–38.9 35%
<37.0
24%
37.0–37.4
35%
37.5–37.9
36%
38.0–38.4
36%
38.5–38.9
35%
39.0+
35%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Donald Trump’s job approval hovering near historic second-term lows around 34-39 percent, pressured by the ongoing Iran conflict, elevated gas prices, and broader economic discontent ahead of the November midterms. These factors have produced steady readings across major aggregators with limited week-to-week movement, leaving the August 14 measurement tightly bunched across the 37-39 range in trader pricing. The narrow spread reflects the absence of major new catalysts in recent days and the typical short-term stability of presidential approval. A decisive diplomatic development on Iran, sharper movement in energy prices, or an unexpected economic data release before the resolution date could shift the outcome into one bin or another.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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