Trump’s Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18–19 posts per day through mid-2026, producing weekly totals most often in the 120–140 range during periods without acute crises. The 60–79 bin leads at 42 percent because traders appear to price in a relatively quiet early-August stretch, absent major legislative deadlines, summits, or breaking foreign-policy developments that historically drive spikes above 100 posts. The July 31 announcement of the Truth API launch on August 1 underscores sustained posting volume and its market impact, yet also highlights that activity can cluster around scheduled events rather than distribute evenly. Secondary bins at 100–139 reflect the possibility of moderate news flow or routine commentary, while lower and higher extremes capture tail risks of subdued or unusually intense weeks. No major catalysts are currently scheduled inside the resolution window.