**Recent polling averages place Sweden's Social Democrats (S) roughly 8–9 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats (SD), aligning with the leading market outcome of a 7–10% margin.** As of early September 2026, S holds approximately 27–29% support while SD stands near 19–20%, producing a consistent individual-party gap even as the broader left and right blocs have narrowed to within a few points. The right-wing Tidö bloc has gained ground in the campaign's final weeks through improved Liberal (L) polling above the 4% threshold, reducing earlier double-digit bloc deficits. However, S has maintained its position as the largest party with a stable lead over SD amid voter priorities on the economy, security, and immigration. With the September 13 election days away, late swings remain possible but have not yet altered the core S–SD margin reflected in trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
S 7-10% 50%
S 4-7% 22%
S 10-13% 18%
S <4% 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
S <4%
6%
S 4-7%
22%
S 7-10%
50%
S 10-13%
18%
S 13%+
6%
Another Party Wins
3%
S 7-10% 50%
S 4-7% 22%
S 10-13% 18%
S <4% 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
S <4%
$1,190 ปริมาณ
6%
S 4-7%
$14 ปริมาณ
22%
S 7-10%
$408 ปริมาณ
50%
S 10-13%
$29 ปริมาณ
18%
S 13%+
$134 ปริมาณ
6%
Another Party Wins
$78 ปริมาณ
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.**Recent polling averages place Sweden's Social Democrats (S) roughly 8–9 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats (SD), aligning with the leading market outcome of a 7–10% margin.**
As of early September 2026, S holds approximately 27–29% support while SD stands near 19–20%, producing a consistent individual-party gap even as the broader left and right blocs have narrowed to within a few points. The right-wing Tidö bloc has gained ground in the campaign's final weeks through improved Liberal (L) polling above the 4% threshold, reducing earlier double-digit bloc deficits. However, S has maintained its position as the largest party with a stable lead over SD amid voter priorities on the economy, security, and immigration. With the September 13 election days away, late swings remain possible but have not yet altered the core S–SD margin reflected in trader consensus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,853วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:58 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.**Recent polling averages place Sweden's Social Democrats (S) roughly 8–9 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats (SD), aligning with the leading market outcome of a 7–10% margin.**
As of early September 2026, S holds approximately 27–29% support while SD stands near 19–20%, producing a consistent individual-party gap even as the broader left and right blocs have narrowed to within a few points. The right-wing Tidö bloc has gained ground in the campaign's final weeks through improved Liberal (L) polling above the 4% threshold, reducing earlier double-digit bloc deficits. However, S has maintained its position as the largest party with a stable lead over SD amid voter priorities on the economy, security, and immigration. With the September 13 election days away, late swings remain possible but have not yet altered the core S–SD margin reflected in trader consensus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,853วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:58 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place Sweden's Social Democrats (S) roughly 8–9 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats (SD), aligning with the leading market outcome of a 7–10% margin.** As of early September 2026, S holds approximately 27–29% support while SD stands near 19–20%, producing a consistent individual-party gap even as the broader left and right blocs have narrowed to within a few points. The right-wing Tidö bloc has gained ground in the campaign's final weeks through improved Liberal (L) polling above the 4% threshold, reducing earlier double-digit bloc deficits. However, S has maintained its position as the largest party with a stable lead over SD amid voter priorities on the economy, security, and immigration. With the September 13 election days away, late swings remain possible but have not yet altered the core S–SD margin reflected in trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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