The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% for 15 consecutive months through August 2026, reflecting a steady policy of calibrating liquidity via structural tools and overnight reverse repo operations rather than benchmark shifts. Recent official statements emphasize an appropriately accommodative stance focused on transmission improvements, short-term rate corridors, and counter-cyclical adjustments amid uneven growth, resilient exports, and subdued domestic demand. This pattern, combined with no fresh signals of imminent easing or tightening ahead of the September 30 window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for no change. A sharp deterioration in key data releases, escalation in external pressures such as trade frictions or energy shocks, or an explicit policy pivot announcement could still open scope for movement before the cutoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeople's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
No Change 94.9%
Decrease 4.5%
Increase <1%
$50,664 ปริมาณ
$50,664 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Increase
<1%
No Change
95%
Decrease
5%
No Change 94.9%
Decrease 4.5%
Increase <1%
$50,664 ปริมาณ
$50,664 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Increase
$5,351 ปริมาณ
<1%
No Change
$23,489 ปริมาณ
95%
Decrease
$21,824 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% for 15 consecutive months through August 2026, reflecting a steady policy of calibrating liquidity via structural tools and overnight reverse repo operations rather than benchmark shifts. Recent official statements emphasize an appropriately accommodative stance focused on transmission improvements, short-term rate corridors, and counter-cyclical adjustments amid uneven growth, resilient exports, and subdued domestic demand. This pattern, combined with no fresh signals of imminent easing or tightening ahead of the September 30 window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for no change. A sharp deterioration in key data releases, escalation in external pressures such as trade frictions or energy shocks, or an explicit policy pivot announcement could still open scope for movement before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,664วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% for 15 consecutive months through August 2026, reflecting a steady policy of calibrating liquidity via structural tools and overnight reverse repo operations rather than benchmark shifts. Recent official statements emphasize an appropriately accommodative stance focused on transmission improvements, short-term rate corridors, and counter-cyclical adjustments amid uneven growth, resilient exports, and subdued domestic demand. This pattern, combined with no fresh signals of imminent easing or tightening ahead of the September 30 window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for no change. A sharp deterioration in key data releases, escalation in external pressures such as trade frictions or energy shocks, or an explicit policy pivot announcement could still open scope for movement before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,664วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% for 15 consecutive months through August 2026, reflecting a steady policy of calibrating liquidity via structural tools and overnight reverse repo operations rather than benchmark shifts. Recent official statements emphasize an appropriately accommodative stance focused on transmission improvements, short-term rate corridors, and counter-cyclical adjustments amid uneven growth, resilient exports, and subdued domestic demand. This pattern, combined with no fresh signals of imminent easing or tightening ahead of the September 30 window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for no change. A sharp deterioration in key data releases, escalation in external pressures such as trade frictions or energy shocks, or an explicit policy pivot announcement could still open scope for movement before the cutoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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