The People's Bank of China has maintained its seven-day reverse repo rate at 1.4% since May 2025 and held the one- and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for over a year, reflecting a data-dependent approach that favors structural tools over broad benchmark shifts. Recent monthly fixings through September 2026, along with the August monetary policy report and early-September official briefings, reinforced this continuity amid resilient exports, contained imported inflation risks, and targeted liquidity operations such as the new overnight reverse repo facility. Trader consensus for no change by September 30 aligns with this steady pattern and limited near-term catalysts. A sharper domestic demand slowdown or unexpected policy signal ahead of the October plenum could still prompt movement before the cutoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeople's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
No Change 95.0%
Decrease 5.2%
Increase <1%
$50,574 ปริมาณ
$50,574 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Increase
<1%
No Change
95%
Decrease
5%
No Change 95.0%
Decrease 5.2%
Increase <1%
$50,574 ปริมาณ
$50,574 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Increase
$5,347 ปริมาณ
<1%
No Change
$23,406 ปริมาณ
95%
Decrease
$21,821 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its seven-day reverse repo rate at 1.4% since May 2025 and held the one- and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for over a year, reflecting a data-dependent approach that favors structural tools over broad benchmark shifts. Recent monthly fixings through September 2026, along with the August monetary policy report and early-September official briefings, reinforced this continuity amid resilient exports, contained imported inflation risks, and targeted liquidity operations such as the new overnight reverse repo facility. Trader consensus for no change by September 30 aligns with this steady pattern and limited near-term catalysts. A sharper domestic demand slowdown or unexpected policy signal ahead of the October plenum could still prompt movement before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,574วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its seven-day reverse repo rate at 1.4% since May 2025 and held the one- and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for over a year, reflecting a data-dependent approach that favors structural tools over broad benchmark shifts. Recent monthly fixings through September 2026, along with the August monetary policy report and early-September official briefings, reinforced this continuity amid resilient exports, contained imported inflation risks, and targeted liquidity operations such as the new overnight reverse repo facility. Trader consensus for no change by September 30 aligns with this steady pattern and limited near-term catalysts. A sharper domestic demand slowdown or unexpected policy signal ahead of the October plenum could still prompt movement before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,574วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has maintained its seven-day reverse repo rate at 1.4% since May 2025 and held the one- and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for over a year, reflecting a data-dependent approach that favors structural tools over broad benchmark shifts. Recent monthly fixings through September 2026, along with the August monetary policy report and early-September official briefings, reinforced this continuity amid resilient exports, contained imported inflation risks, and targeted liquidity operations such as the new overnight reverse repo facility. Trader consensus for no change by September 30 aligns with this steady pattern and limited near-term catalysts. A sharper domestic demand slowdown or unexpected policy signal ahead of the October plenum could still prompt movement before the cutoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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