Incumbent Denny Tamaki leads the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial race due to his long-standing opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko and consistent backing from the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties. Trader consensus assigns him the highest probability among declared candidates. Main challenger Genta Koja, endorsed by local business groups and LDP-aligned forces, trails as the primary alternative. Support for Tamaki has shown some softening after the February 2026 Lower House election, where All Okinawa candidates lost all district seats and coalition alignments shifted with the formation of the Centrist Reform Alliance. Other listed candidates register minimal odds, reflecting limited viability in a contest centered on base policy and prefectural autonomy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDenny Tamaki 67%
Genta Koja 28%
Mikio Shimoji 4.5%
Masahiro Sueyoshi 3.5%

Denny Tamaki
67%

Genta Koja
28%

Mikio Shimoji
5%

Masahiro Sueyoshi
4%

Chosuke Yara
1%

Takashi Higa
1%

Shun Kaneshima
6%
Denny Tamaki 67%
Genta Koja 28%
Mikio Shimoji 4.5%
Masahiro Sueyoshi 3.5%

Denny Tamaki
67%

Genta Koja
28%

Mikio Shimoji
5%

Masahiro Sueyoshi
4%

Chosuke Yara
1%

Takashi Higa
1%

Shun Kaneshima
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Denny Tamaki leads the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial race due to his long-standing opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko and consistent backing from the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties. Trader consensus assigns him the highest probability among declared candidates. Main challenger Genta Koja, endorsed by local business groups and LDP-aligned forces, trails as the primary alternative. Support for Tamaki has shown some softening after the February 2026 Lower House election, where All Okinawa candidates lost all district seats and coalition alignments shifted with the formation of the Centrist Reform Alliance. Other listed candidates register minimal odds, reflecting limited viability in a contest centered on base policy and prefectural autonomy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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