The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's retirement to run for Senate underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic based on the district's slight partisan voting index advantage and recent presidential results showing narrow margins. The September 8 primary features a crowded Democratic field with leading contenders including Stefany Shaheen and Heath Howard, while Republicans have fewer prominent options; polling indicates significant undecided voters in both primaries. This setup, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, sustains the implied probabilities near 86% for Democrats heading into the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNH-01 House Election Winner
NH-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,726 ปริมาณ
86%
Republican Party
$3,047 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's retirement to run for Senate underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic based on the district's slight partisan voting index advantage and recent presidential results showing narrow margins. The September 8 primary features a crowded Democratic field with leading contenders including Stefany Shaheen and Heath Howard, while Republicans have fewer prominent options; polling indicates significant undecided voters in both primaries. This setup, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, sustains the implied probabilities near 86% for Democrats heading into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,774วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's retirement to run for Senate underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic based on the district's slight partisan voting index advantage and recent presidential results showing narrow margins. The September 8 primary features a crowded Democratic field with leading contenders including Stefany Shaheen and Heath Howard, while Republicans have fewer prominent options; polling indicates significant undecided voters in both primaries. This setup, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, sustains the implied probabilities near 86% for Democrats heading into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,774วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's retirement to run for Senate underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic based on the district's slight partisan voting index advantage and recent presidential results showing narrow margins. The September 8 primary features a crowded Democratic field with leading contenders including Stefany Shaheen and Heath Howard, while Republicans have fewer prominent options; polling indicates significant undecided voters in both primaries. This setup, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, sustains the implied probabilities near 86% for Democrats heading into the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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