Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with a substantial structural edge in Maryland's 3rd District. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting Republican prospects even with Berney Flowers as the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on voting patterns, turnout history, and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals, though shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, unusually high Republican mobilization, or court-ordered redistricting altering district lines before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$28,265 ปริมาณ
$28,265 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
$28,265 ปริมาณ
$28,265 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,807 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$7,458 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with a substantial structural edge in Maryland's 3rd District. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting Republican prospects even with Berney Flowers as the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on voting patterns, turnout history, and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals, though shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, unusually high Republican mobilization, or court-ordered redistricting altering district lines before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,265วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with a substantial structural edge in Maryland's 3rd District. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting Republican prospects even with Berney Flowers as the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on voting patterns, turnout history, and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals, though shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, unusually high Republican mobilization, or court-ordered redistricting altering district lines before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,265วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with a substantial structural edge in Maryland's 3rd District. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting Republican prospects even with Berney Flowers as the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on voting patterns, turnout history, and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals, though shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, unusually high Republican mobilization, or court-ordered redistricting altering district lines before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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