Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores remain in pretrial detention in Brooklyn following their January 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas on narco-terrorism and cocaine-trafficking charges carrying potential life sentences. Traders assign a slim majority probability to no prison time primarily because his September 2026 motions to dismiss the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds—supported by arguments that no U.S. court has tried a recognized foreign leader—face oral argument in November, with prosecutors responding by early October. A June 2027 trial date leaves ample room for dismissal, acquittal, or negotiated resolution before any sentencing. The 33.5% share for 60-plus years reflects the serious nature of the allegations and historical precedent for lengthy drug-conspiracy terms if the case proceeds to conviction, while shorter ranges remain low-probability given the high-stakes procedural hurdles still ahead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วเวลาคุกมาดูโร?
เวลาคุกมาดูโร?
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 51%
60+ 34%
<20 10.0%
20–40 2.8%
$735,003 ปริมาณ
$735,003 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2027
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
51%
<20
10%
20–40
3%
40–60
1%
60+
34%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 51%
60+ 34%
<20 10.0%
20–40 2.8%
$735,003 ปริมาณ
$735,003 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2027
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$443,836 ปริมาณ
51%
<20
$112,710 ปริมาณ
10%
20–40
$59,966 ปริมาณ
3%
40–60
$27,373 ปริมาณ
1%
60+
$91,118 ปริมาณ
34%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores remain in pretrial detention in Brooklyn following their January 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas on narco-terrorism and cocaine-trafficking charges carrying potential life sentences. Traders assign a slim majority probability to no prison time primarily because his September 2026 motions to dismiss the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds—supported by arguments that no U.S. court has tried a recognized foreign leader—face oral argument in November, with prosecutors responding by early October. A June 2027 trial date leaves ample room for dismissal, acquittal, or negotiated resolution before any sentencing. The 33.5% share for 60-plus years reflects the serious nature of the allegations and historical precedent for lengthy drug-conspiracy terms if the case proceeds to conviction, while shorter ranges remain low-probability given the high-stakes procedural hurdles still ahead.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$735,003วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores remain in pretrial detention in Brooklyn following their January 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas on narco-terrorism and cocaine-trafficking charges carrying potential life sentences. Traders assign a slim majority probability to no prison time primarily because his September 2026 motions to dismiss the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds—supported by arguments that no U.S. court has tried a recognized foreign leader—face oral argument in November, with prosecutors responding by early October. A June 2027 trial date leaves ample room for dismissal, acquittal, or negotiated resolution before any sentencing. The 33.5% share for 60-plus years reflects the serious nature of the allegations and historical precedent for lengthy drug-conspiracy terms if the case proceeds to conviction, while shorter ranges remain low-probability given the high-stakes procedural hurdles still ahead.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$735,003วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores remain in pretrial detention in Brooklyn following their January 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas on narco-terrorism and cocaine-trafficking charges carrying potential life sentences. Traders assign a slim majority probability to no prison time primarily because his September 2026 motions to dismiss the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds—supported by arguments that no U.S. court has tried a recognized foreign leader—face oral argument in November, with prosecutors responding by early October. A June 2027 trial date leaves ample room for dismissal, acquittal, or negotiated resolution before any sentencing. The 33.5% share for 60-plus years reflects the serious nature of the allegations and historical precedent for lengthy drug-conspiracy terms if the case proceeds to conviction, while shorter ranges remain low-probability given the high-stakes procedural hurdles still ahead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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