**Current forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Wuhan on September 14, yet the near-even split between 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Light northerly to northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60% are limiting clear-sky heat loss, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could raise the low by several degrees. Seasonal norms for mid-September place typical minima in the low 20s°C, with recent model runs showing modest spread due to evolving steering patterns. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next ECMWF/GFS cycles will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 14?
18°C or below 89%
28°C or higher 89%
21°C 40%
25°C 39%
18°C or below
89%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
89%
18°C or below 89%
28°C or higher 89%
21°C 40%
25°C 39%
18°C or below
89%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Wuhan on September 14, yet the near-even split between 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Light northerly to northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60% are limiting clear-sky heat loss, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could raise the low by several degrees. Seasonal norms for mid-September place typical minima in the low 20s°C, with recent model runs showing modest spread due to evolving steering patterns. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next ECMWF/GFS cycles will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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