Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a peak temperature of 31–33°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme diurnal heating while maintaining warm conditions. Recent days have seen highs near 32–34°C under similar setups, with low precipitation risk supporting modest cooling rather than sharp drops. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting typical early-autumn variability in the Yangtze River valley where humidity and cloud cover modulate maximums. Market-implied odds favor 31°C and 32°C most heavily because newer runs have not shifted toward higher or lower thresholds, though final NMC observations could adjust resolution if afternoon convection develops.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 14?
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
33°C 16%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
31%
32°C
34%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
33°C 16%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
27°C or below
$147 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$150 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$300 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$756 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$293 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$112 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$596 ปริมาณ
16%
34°C
$77 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$253 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$444 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a peak temperature of 31–33°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme diurnal heating while maintaining warm conditions. Recent days have seen highs near 32–34°C under similar setups, with low precipitation risk supporting modest cooling rather than sharp drops. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting typical early-autumn variability in the Yangtze River valley where humidity and cloud cover modulate maximums. Market-implied odds favor 31°C and 32°C most heavily because newer runs have not shifted toward higher or lower thresholds, though final NMC observations could adjust resolution if afternoon convection develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,127วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a peak temperature of 31–33°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme diurnal heating while maintaining warm conditions. Recent days have seen highs near 32–34°C under similar setups, with low precipitation risk supporting modest cooling rather than sharp drops. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting typical early-autumn variability in the Yangtze River valley where humidity and cloud cover modulate maximums. Market-implied odds favor 31°C and 32°C most heavily because newer runs have not shifted toward higher or lower thresholds, though final NMC observations could adjust resolution if afternoon convection develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,127วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a peak temperature of 31–33°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme diurnal heating while maintaining warm conditions. Recent days have seen highs near 32–34°C under similar setups, with low precipitation risk supporting modest cooling rather than sharp drops. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting typical early-autumn variability in the Yangtze River valley where humidity and cloud cover modulate maximums. Market-implied odds favor 31°C and 32°C most heavily because newer runs have not shifted toward higher or lower thresholds, though final NMC observations could adjust resolution if afternoon convection develops.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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