**Latest official forecasts and real-time observations from Wellington International Airport and MetService models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 11°C on September 5, 2026, driving the 99.6% market-implied odds.** Persistent northwesterly winds of 25–40 km/h with gusts exceeding 60 km/h have mixed the boundary layer and limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite partly cloudy conditions. Current readings hover near 12–15°C during the afternoon, with dew points around 8–10°C supporting a floor near 11°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 8–10°C, but the strong flow this day has elevated the expected low. Unlikely but possible shifts include a sudden wind lull or clearer skies allowing greater nocturnal cooling, which could push readings to 10°C or below and alter resolution if verified by official stations. Updated model runs or final MetService verification remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
11°C 99.4%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
99%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99.4%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
$67 ปริมาณ
1%
8°C
$76 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$67 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$530 ปริมาณ
99%
12°C
$1,793 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$3,206 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$1,055 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$1,055 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,045 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts and real-time observations from Wellington International Airport and MetService models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 11°C on September 5, 2026, driving the 99.6% market-implied odds.**
Persistent northwesterly winds of 25–40 km/h with gusts exceeding 60 km/h have mixed the boundary layer and limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite partly cloudy conditions. Current readings hover near 12–15°C during the afternoon, with dew points around 8–10°C supporting a floor near 11°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 8–10°C, but the strong flow this day has elevated the expected low.
Unlikely but possible shifts include a sudden wind lull or clearer skies allowing greater nocturnal cooling, which could push readings to 10°C or below and alter resolution if verified by official stations. Updated model runs or final MetService verification remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,045วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts and real-time observations from Wellington International Airport and MetService models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 11°C on September 5, 2026, driving the 99.6% market-implied odds.**
Persistent northwesterly winds of 25–40 km/h with gusts exceeding 60 km/h have mixed the boundary layer and limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite partly cloudy conditions. Current readings hover near 12–15°C during the afternoon, with dew points around 8–10°C supporting a floor near 11°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 8–10°C, but the strong flow this day has elevated the expected low.
Unlikely but possible shifts include a sudden wind lull or clearer skies allowing greater nocturnal cooling, which could push readings to 10°C or below and alter resolution if verified by official stations. Updated model runs or final MetService verification remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,045วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts and real-time observations from Wellington International Airport and MetService models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 11°C on September 5, 2026, driving the 99.6% market-implied odds.** Persistent northwesterly winds of 25–40 km/h with gusts exceeding 60 km/h have mixed the boundary layer and limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite partly cloudy conditions. Current readings hover near 12–15°C during the afternoon, with dew points around 8–10°C supporting a floor near 11°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 8–10°C, but the strong flow this day has elevated the expected low. Unlikely but possible shifts include a sudden wind lull or clearer skies allowing greater nocturnal cooling, which could push readings to 10°C or below and alter resolution if verified by official stations. Updated model runs or final MetService verification remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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