Current forecasts for Paris on September 5 indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight will drive the low, with urban heat island effects and dew point levels around 10–12°C moderating the drop from daytime highs near 24–26°C. Model differences in boundary layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the tight contest, as even small changes in cloud cover or advection could shift the reading by 1°C. Historical September averages place the typical low near 13°C, but recent dry conditions favor a milder outcome. Updated model runs and official observations near dawn will clarify resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 5?
15°C 54%
16°C 46%
14°C or below 23%
17°C 1.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
14°C or below
17%
15°C
50%
16°C
39%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
15°C 54%
16°C 46%
14°C or below 23%
17°C 1.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
14°C or below
$1,128 ปริมาณ
17%
15°C
$1,527 ปริมาณ
50%
16°C
$1,587 ปริมาณ
39%
17°C
$549 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$158 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$123 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Paris on September 5 indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight will drive the low, with urban heat island effects and dew point levels around 10–12°C moderating the drop from daytime highs near 24–26°C. Model differences in boundary layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the tight contest, as even small changes in cloud cover or advection could shift the reading by 1°C. Historical September averages place the typical low near 13°C, but recent dry conditions favor a milder outcome. Updated model runs and official observations near dawn will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,171วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Paris on September 5 indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight will drive the low, with urban heat island effects and dew point levels around 10–12°C moderating the drop from daytime highs near 24–26°C. Model differences in boundary layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the tight contest, as even small changes in cloud cover or advection could shift the reading by 1°C. Historical September averages place the typical low near 13°C, but recent dry conditions favor a milder outcome. Updated model runs and official observations near dawn will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,171วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Paris on September 5 indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight will drive the low, with urban heat island effects and dew point levels around 10–12°C moderating the drop from daytime highs near 24–26°C. Model differences in boundary layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the tight contest, as even small changes in cloud cover or advection could shift the reading by 1°C. Historical September averages place the typical low near 13°C, but recent dry conditions favor a milder outcome. Updated model runs and official observations near dawn will clarify resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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