**Trader consensus heavily favors an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 17, 2026, at 99% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service forecast of a low near 81°F under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds.** Miami’s subtropical August climate features persistently high dew points and humidity that suppress radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 78-82°F band consistent with long-term normals. Official guidance from NWS Miami shows stable conditions with no approaching fronts, tropical systems, or unusual moisture intrusions that would alter the typical pattern. This positioning draws from both real-time model consensus and historical data showing minimal day-to-day variability in midsummer nights. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome lower include unexpected persistent cloud cover or enhanced wind mixing, though current observations and short-range guidance assign very low odds to such changes before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 17?
80-81°F 99%
78-79°F 1.0%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$7,372 ปริมาณ
$7,372 ปริมาณ
Aug 17, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
99%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 99%
78-79°F 1.0%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$7,372 ปริมาณ
$7,372 ปริมาณ
Aug 17, 2026
69°F or below
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$281 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$679 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$769 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$542 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$822 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$715 ปริมาณ
99%
82-83°F
$1,096 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$950 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$936 ปริมาณ
<1%
88°F or higher
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 17, 2026, at 99% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service forecast of a low near 81°F under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds.**
Miami’s subtropical August climate features persistently high dew points and humidity that suppress radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 78-82°F band consistent with long-term normals. Official guidance from NWS Miami shows stable conditions with no approaching fronts, tropical systems, or unusual moisture intrusions that would alter the typical pattern.
This positioning draws from both real-time model consensus and historical data showing minimal day-to-day variability in midsummer nights. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome lower include unexpected persistent cloud cover or enhanced wind mixing, though current observations and short-range guidance assign very low odds to such changes before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,372วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 17, 2026, at 99% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service forecast of a low near 81°F under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds.**
Miami’s subtropical August climate features persistently high dew points and humidity that suppress radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 78-82°F band consistent with long-term normals. Official guidance from NWS Miami shows stable conditions with no approaching fronts, tropical systems, or unusual moisture intrusions that would alter the typical pattern.
This positioning draws from both real-time model consensus and historical data showing minimal day-to-day variability in midsummer nights. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome lower include unexpected persistent cloud cover or enhanced wind mixing, though current observations and short-range guidance assign very low odds to such changes before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,372วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 17, 2026, at 99% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service forecast of a low near 81°F under mostly clear skies and light southeast winds.** Miami’s subtropical August climate features persistently high dew points and humidity that suppress radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 78-82°F band consistent with long-term normals. Official guidance from NWS Miami shows stable conditions with no approaching fronts, tropical systems, or unusual moisture intrusions that would alter the typical pattern. This positioning draws from both real-time model consensus and historical data showing minimal day-to-day variability in midsummer nights. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome lower include unexpected persistent cloud cover or enhanced wind mixing, though current observations and short-range guidance assign very low odds to such changes before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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