Recent forecast models and observational trends point to persistently elevated overnight temperatures in London, with the Met Office and ensemble guidance favoring a daily minimum near 18–19°C on August 10 amid a warm, settled high-pressure regime and reduced radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover, light winds, and above-average heat advection from the south that has already produced warmer-than-normal nights earlier in the month. Historical August minima average 13–14°C, but the current anomaly—supported by GFS and ECMWF runs—has shifted probabilities away from cooler thresholds. Traders will monitor the next 12–24 hours of updated model output and Met Office briefings for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 10?
Lowest temperature in London on August 10?
19°C 52%
18°C 38%
17°C 7%
20°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
38%
19°C
52%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 52%
18°C 38%
17°C 7%
20°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
$229 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$461 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$223 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$234 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C
$3,303 ปริมาณ
38%
19°C
$637 ปริมาณ
52%
20°C
$302 ปริมาณ
6%
21°C
$210 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$213 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and observational trends point to persistently elevated overnight temperatures in London, with the Met Office and ensemble guidance favoring a daily minimum near 18–19°C on August 10 amid a warm, settled high-pressure regime and reduced radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover, light winds, and above-average heat advection from the south that has already produced warmer-than-normal nights earlier in the month. Historical August minima average 13–14°C, but the current anomaly—supported by GFS and ECMWF runs—has shifted probabilities away from cooler thresholds. Traders will monitor the next 12–24 hours of updated model output and Met Office briefings for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,177วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and observational trends point to persistently elevated overnight temperatures in London, with the Met Office and ensemble guidance favoring a daily minimum near 18–19°C on August 10 amid a warm, settled high-pressure regime and reduced radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover, light winds, and above-average heat advection from the south that has already produced warmer-than-normal nights earlier in the month. Historical August minima average 13–14°C, but the current anomaly—supported by GFS and ECMWF runs—has shifted probabilities away from cooler thresholds. Traders will monitor the next 12–24 hours of updated model output and Met Office briefings for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,177วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models and observational trends point to persistently elevated overnight temperatures in London, with the Met Office and ensemble guidance favoring a daily minimum near 18–19°C on August 10 amid a warm, settled high-pressure regime and reduced radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover, light winds, and above-average heat advection from the south that has already produced warmer-than-normal nights earlier in the month. Historical August minima average 13–14°C, but the current anomaly—supported by GFS and ECMWF runs—has shifted probabilities away from cooler thresholds. Traders will monitor the next 12–24 hours of updated model output and Met Office briefings for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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