**Trader consensus strongly favors 18°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on September 5, 2026, with 76% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum near 19°C (67°F), supported by clear to mostly clear skies, light southerly or variable winds under 5 km/h, and high surface pressure maintaining dry, stable conditions. This aligns with the seasonal diurnal range for early September, where daytime highs of 31–33°C typically yield overnight lows in the upper teens °C when cloud cover remains minimal. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to alter radiative cooling rates. Historical averages place the Sept 5 low near 18.4°C, reinforcing the positioning of 18°C and 17°C as the leading outcomes while lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect the absence of anomalous cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
18°C 99%
14°C or below 10%
15°C 10%
16°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
14°C or below
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
85%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99%
14°C or below 10%
15°C 10%
16°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
14°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
10%
15°C
$22 ปริมาณ
10%
16°C
$32 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$116 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$623 ปริมาณ
85%
19°C
$347 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$317 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 18°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on September 5, 2026, with 76% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum near 19°C (67°F), supported by clear to mostly clear skies, light southerly or variable winds under 5 km/h, and high surface pressure maintaining dry, stable conditions. This aligns with the seasonal diurnal range for early September, where daytime highs of 31–33°C typically yield overnight lows in the upper teens °C when cloud cover remains minimal. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to alter radiative cooling rates. Historical averages place the Sept 5 low near 18.4°C, reinforcing the positioning of 18°C and 17°C as the leading outcomes while lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect the absence of anomalous cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,649วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 18°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on September 5, 2026, with 76% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum near 19°C (67°F), supported by clear to mostly clear skies, light southerly or variable winds under 5 km/h, and high surface pressure maintaining dry, stable conditions. This aligns with the seasonal diurnal range for early September, where daytime highs of 31–33°C typically yield overnight lows in the upper teens °C when cloud cover remains minimal. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to alter radiative cooling rates. Historical averages place the Sept 5 low near 18.4°C, reinforcing the positioning of 18°C and 17°C as the leading outcomes while lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect the absence of anomalous cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,649วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 18°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on September 5, 2026, with 76% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum near 19°C (67°F), supported by clear to mostly clear skies, light southerly or variable winds under 5 km/h, and high surface pressure maintaining dry, stable conditions. This aligns with the seasonal diurnal range for early September, where daytime highs of 31–33°C typically yield overnight lows in the upper teens °C when cloud cover remains minimal. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture to alter radiative cooling rates. Historical averages place the Sept 5 low near 18.4°C, reinforcing the positioning of 18°C and 17°C as the leading outcomes while lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect the absence of anomalous cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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