Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 likely falling between 11°C and 14°C, driven by partly to mostly clear skies overnight that enhance radiative cooling under light northwest winds of 2–6 m/s. Dew points near 11–12°C and moderate humidity around 70% constrain further drops, while daytime highs near 19–20°C reflect residual warmth from westerly flow. Historical September 5 averages show a climatological low of 11.8°C, with recent years often recording 10–14°C minima under similar transitional autumn patterns. The closely matched market probabilities around 10°C or below versus 13–14°C reflect uncertainty in exact overnight clearing and boundary-layer mixing, with updated model runs and official observations from Schiphol likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5?
13°C 44%
15°C 44%
16°C 44%
14°C 43%
10°C or below
-
11°C
13%
12°C
4%
13°C
44%
14°C
43%
15°C
44%
16°C
44%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 44%
15°C 44%
16°C 44%
14°C 43%
10°C or below
-
11°C
13%
12°C
4%
13°C
44%
14°C
43%
15°C
44%
16°C
44%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 likely falling between 11°C and 14°C, driven by partly to mostly clear skies overnight that enhance radiative cooling under light northwest winds of 2–6 m/s. Dew points near 11–12°C and moderate humidity around 70% constrain further drops, while daytime highs near 19–20°C reflect residual warmth from westerly flow. Historical September 5 averages show a climatological low of 11.8°C, with recent years often recording 10–14°C minima under similar transitional autumn patterns. The closely matched market probabilities around 10°C or below versus 13–14°C reflect uncertainty in exact overnight clearing and boundary-layer mixing, with updated model runs and official observations from Schiphol likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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