The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for Tokyo on August 9, 2026, calls for a maximum of 33°C under mostly clear to cloudy skies, directly aligning with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome. This reflects typical midsummer conditions for the region, where August daily normals reach about 31–32°C amid persistent high pressure and humidity often exceeding 70%. Recent JMA outlooks have projected above-average temperatures nationwide, consistent with observed heat patterns through early August. The 0.6% chance of 34°C accounts for possible model adjustments or localized warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected cloud cover or precipitation. Resolution depends on the agency's verified station readings, with the final maximum expected close to the forecast value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$39,846 ปริมาณ
$39,846 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$39,846 ปริมาณ
$39,846 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$1,211 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$899 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,871 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$3,837 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$4,704 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$7,507 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$7,084 ปริมาณ
99%
34°C
$4,456 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$5,291 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$1,306 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$680 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for Tokyo on August 9, 2026, calls for a maximum of 33°C under mostly clear to cloudy skies, directly aligning with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome. This reflects typical midsummer conditions for the region, where August daily normals reach about 31–32°C amid persistent high pressure and humidity often exceeding 70%. Recent JMA outlooks have projected above-average temperatures nationwide, consistent with observed heat patterns through early August. The 0.6% chance of 34°C accounts for possible model adjustments or localized warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected cloud cover or precipitation. Resolution depends on the agency's verified station readings, with the final maximum expected close to the forecast value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,846วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for Tokyo on August 9, 2026, calls for a maximum of 33°C under mostly clear to cloudy skies, directly aligning with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome. This reflects typical midsummer conditions for the region, where August daily normals reach about 31–32°C amid persistent high pressure and humidity often exceeding 70%. Recent JMA outlooks have projected above-average temperatures nationwide, consistent with observed heat patterns through early August. The 0.6% chance of 34°C accounts for possible model adjustments or localized warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected cloud cover or precipitation. Resolution depends on the agency's verified station readings, with the final maximum expected close to the forecast value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,846วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for Tokyo on August 9, 2026, calls for a maximum of 33°C under mostly clear to cloudy skies, directly aligning with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome. This reflects typical midsummer conditions for the region, where August daily normals reach about 31–32°C amid persistent high pressure and humidity often exceeding 70%. Recent JMA outlooks have projected above-average temperatures nationwide, consistent with observed heat patterns through early August. The 0.6% chance of 34°C accounts for possible model adjustments or localized warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected cloud cover or precipitation. Resolution depends on the agency's verified station readings, with the final maximum expected close to the forecast value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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