Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms over Taipei on August 9 are suppressing daytime heating and positioning 27°C as the market leader with 45.3% implied probability. Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates highs of 27–31°C amid 100% precipitation probability, well below the August climatological average near 32–33°C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peak readings. Recent model consensus reinforces this cooler outcome relative to drier historical analogs, with trader positioning reflecting the high likelihood of resolution near or below 28°C given the active monsoon pattern and minimal clearing expected through the afternoon observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 9?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 9?
27°C 62.4%
28°C 17.0%
26°C or below 6.7%
29°C 6%
$101,039 ปริมาณ
$101,039 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
7%
27°C
57%
28°C
22%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
27°C 62.4%
28°C 17.0%
26°C or below 6.7%
29°C 6%
$101,039 ปริมาณ
$101,039 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
$18,250 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C
$9,056 ปริมาณ
57%
28°C
$10,171 ปริมาณ
22%
29°C
$10,587 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$8,402 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$6,506 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$8,878 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$7,088 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$8,652 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$5,333 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$8,116 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms over Taipei on August 9 are suppressing daytime heating and positioning 27°C as the market leader with 45.3% implied probability. Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates highs of 27–31°C amid 100% precipitation probability, well below the August climatological average near 32–33°C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peak readings. Recent model consensus reinforces this cooler outcome relative to drier historical analogs, with trader positioning reflecting the high likelihood of resolution near or below 28°C given the active monsoon pattern and minimal clearing expected through the afternoon observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,039วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms over Taipei on August 9 are suppressing daytime heating and positioning 27°C as the market leader with 45.3% implied probability. Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates highs of 27–31°C amid 100% precipitation probability, well below the August climatological average near 32–33°C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peak readings. Recent model consensus reinforces this cooler outcome relative to drier historical analogs, with trader positioning reflecting the high likelihood of resolution near or below 28°C given the active monsoon pattern and minimal clearing expected through the afternoon observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,039วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms over Taipei on August 9 are suppressing daytime heating and positioning 27°C as the market leader with 45.3% implied probability. Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates highs of 27–31°C amid 100% precipitation probability, well below the August climatological average near 32–33°C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peak readings. Recent model consensus reinforces this cooler outcome relative to drier historical analogs, with trader positioning reflecting the high likelihood of resolution near or below 28°C given the active monsoon pattern and minimal clearing expected through the afternoon observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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